Algonquin Power & Utilities CorpAQN.TOCOMMENTOct 04, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 01, 2026. Market Open.
Pullback has to do with its debt level and rising interest rates. More volatile than you'd expect for a utility, partly to do with projects its won/lost. Nice dividend. If you want capital appreciation, may need to manage your position. If you're in it for the income, the income is there.
He owns no utility names right now, based solely on interest rates moving up.
Rates going up will affect utilities. Algonquin Power will keep its TSX listing and will get some US index inclusion. The price is attractive and the dividend yield is 5%. It will take a while for the company to clean itself up but it has started to do so and one day the issues will be better. He is topping up.
Continues working through a multi-year turnaround. Now mostly a regulated utility providing natural gas, water, and electricity. Positive that management's returned focus to simpler utility operations. New, approved utility rates are helping earnings. More than 80% of operations in US, HQ plans to move to US (reduce taxes, attract more US investors).
Debt remains extremely high, earnings growth still modest. She's just monitoring, needs to see more execution.
He owns a preferred share. AQN's problem is the debt from all their acquisitions back in the day; interest rates hit them hard and forced a dividend cut. They sold their renewables business. Then, shares fell after an earnings report that lowered their 2027 profit guidance. AQN now focuses on gas, water and electric services. The street is saying to them, "Prove to me you can make money again." It's sitting in the penalty box waiting for management to show a positive move.
They spent a lot to enter the renewables space and overlevered the balance sheet. That was a disaster. They've been cleaning that up to be a pure-play utility, which is a predictable business that investors like. They have completely new leadership and have reset. This offers safe, predictable income.
His problem with utilities is that they are not growing organically, but are making acquisitions for growth. As interest rates start to rise, that could cause big issues. Half their business is regulated, but half is not. On the regulated side, they have no choice but to have debt preferred and equity issues. On the nonregulated side, that is where they want to make the bulk of their money because if the renewable assets were to decline, it is going to affect their business. The good news on this is that the US acquisition is pretty much shifting from coal to gas, and they are starting to see better margins.