Lesley Marks
Allana Potash Corp
AAA-T
BUY
Mar 09, 2011
This is the one she has chosen of this sector. She likes the asset and the management team. Can be brought into production with lower CAP-X than in Canada. It’s a good opportunity to enter at this level.
Potash in Ethiopia. This is not one of her “go to” names. If you like potash and you want to get into the junior space, she would prefer something like Western Potash (WPX-T) or Karnalyte Resources (KRN-T), which are in safe jurisdictions and their profitable projects.
Very volatile security. If you own, use any further rallies as an exit point. Big resource and will need a ton of capital to put it into actual production.
Potash in Argentina and Ethiopia. Shallow digging but not much infrastructure. Having got earnings yet. The whole agriculture sector is being cratered. The giants are closing down mines.
An African play and there are likelihood of potential of take agreements coming in. Grades of potash coming in are excellent. In the $.80-$.85 level this looks interesting.
Potash. When you are looking at a sector and the blue-chip in this sector is hammered down, there is no upside in going with the more peripheral play. You should really be looking at Potash (POT-T). This is the blue-chip and it has been bombed out and typically trades between $40 and $60 and is at the low end of that range.
Company is fine but generally the potash market has not responded as well as the other fertilizer markets. There are also geopolitical risks. Potash is probably due for a bit of a bounce but will probably be short lived because of less supplier discipline than has been in the past.
Small, potash play in Ethiopia. Stock is bouncing all over the place. Potash prices are probably not high enough to have someone come in and spend all the capital needed to bring it into production.
The potash deposit this company has is fabulous. He’s been cautious on all Junior companies in this environment. You may have the greatest deposit in the world, but if you need financing, you may have to issue new stock. There is also the political risk.
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