Aurora Cannabis, Canopy and More Earnings this Week (Feb 11-15)
The markets have been doing well, and investors are keeping a close eye on this week’s earning reports from a great number of Canadian large-cap stocks. Cannabis giants Aurora Cannabis (ACB-T), and Canopy (WEED-T) are both reporting their earnings this week. Other big names this week include Canadian Tire (CTC.A-T) , Shopify (SHOP-T) and, Telus (T-T) as well as Bombardier (BBD.B-T).
Here are the companies on Stockchase that are reporting earnings this week:
Aurora Cannabis (ACB-T) Feb 11
It's been a wild ride. The valuation across all the names are still quite high. With what we are seeing with legislation in the US, he would still tend to look at these. Stick with it.
SQI Diagnostics Inc. (SQD-X) Feb 11
They make life easier for large diagnostic test companies. It automates the testing process. They did a final financing. They've been working on this technology for 5 years.
Inmed Pharmaceuticals (IN-T) Feb 12
This is another company in the cannabis space. This is not a cannabis producer, it is a company that adds value in that space. They are mapping cannabinoids, looking for different formulations to treat different diseases.It is highly speculative, but he thinks there is opportunity for this type of company. He likes the management. In…
Doesn't know this well. They're in the cannabis sector, more in the extraction market, an area that will continue to expand. He's watching their progress in earnings.
Canopy Growth Corp. (WEED-T) Feb 14
They continue to be challenged in Canada. They overbuilt growth facilities. What is more important is what they are doing with their US strategy. They have an option to own assets in the US if it becomes legal in the US. They also have a partnership for gummies. Starting to look at cannabis market has…
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. A solid REIT. Not too expensive with good tenants and income. Cashflow is good. They raised distributions in June. Cashflow rose 5% last quarter with the payout ratio low at 72.6%. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
United Corps. (UNC-T) Feb 11
Clarke Inc. (CKI-T) Feb 12
(A Top Pick April 25/16. Up 16.15%.) A small investment management firm. Historically they have done very well in investing in both public and private oil companies, and buying and selling assets. They delivered a special $2 dividend to shareholders in June. He is a little less bullish on this now. Trading at a slight…
Among Canadian apartment REITs, CAP REIT gets all the love, but also the price appreciation. Actually, Killam's chart is nearly identical to CAP REIT year-to-date and pays a healthy 3.88% dividend yield (CAP REIT pays 2.84%). Whereas CAP REIT is centered on Toronto, Killam focuses on Atlantic Canada, namely Halifax and Charlottetown. Another difference is…
(A Top Pick June 1/17, Up 12%) A great manager. Out of Alberta with very good western properties. He sold during its recent highs, but still likes it.
A hold. A value name in apartments in Canada and the U.S. He's impressed with how stable their Toronto portfolio is, holding occupancy quite well. MGR is in the US sunbelt and Chicago. MRG is higher-leveraged. He's seeking REITs that are defensive. He doesn't see as much growth here vs. the REITs he already owns.…
He focuses little on the distribution, but rather on the total return. This one he likes. They have great management. The market was not giving them credit for the resiliency of their portfolio. He would continue to hold on to it.
It has many positive attributes: Strong management, great business model and a niche business model. Their tenant usage is a smaller model. They are well positioned. They can't fight the tide. It is a difficult operating market. There are high vacancies there and they have to be competitive in signing new leases. He would not…
Atrium Mortgages (AI-T) Feb 13
Stable income provider you can add to any portfolio. Likes it. Great real estate nationally. Biggest tenant is Loblaw, so it has a secure cashflow. An element of growth, which is unique, from the industrial sector. Nice combination of safety and growth. Hold, sleep well at night with the distribution yield.
(A Top Pick Dec 27/19, Up 7%) For a real estate company, it has survived well, due to its industrial real estate holdings. He likes it, but doesn't own it now; the space became too uncertain. He bought it for its yield until the pandemic made real estate too uncertain.
First Capital Realty (FCR-T) Feb 13
He had avoided the retail space but is now bullish on necessity-based shopping and that is what they address. The stock has been depressed because cash flows came off during the pandemic and they cut the distribution temporarily for probably two years. It is trading at a big discount to net asset value. He likes…
Manulife Financial (MFC-T) Feb 13
Insurance companies have been quite sleepy this year. SLF stock's been flat since 2019. Not a ton of dividend growth. Good positive exposure to rising rates longer term. Well managed. MFC has more catalysts, cheaper, higher dividend yield. Trimmed weighting to insurance broadly and moved into utilities, renewables, and infrastructure.
Tough to own. Retail, office, some industrial. Deep value, but doesn't see a catalyst. He's not a buyer of enclosed mall office or retail.
Smart REIT (SRU.UN-T) Feb 13
65% Walmart. It is retail, anchored primarily by Walmart. It comes with very low rent growth but an attractive distribution growth that is quite safe. He can find growth and value elsewhere, however.
Insurance companies have been quite sleepy this year. Stock's been flat since 2019. Not a ton of dividend growth. Good positive exposure to rising rates longer term. Well managed. He owns MFC instead, with more catalysts, cheaper, higher dividend yield. Trimmed weighting to insurance broadly and moved into utilities, renewables, and infrastructure.
TMX Group (X-T) Feb 13
Defensive, financial business. Will benefit from rising stock prices. Exchange listing, but also a data analytics business. Way undervalued for the quality. Wants to see management unlock its value. $175+ stock going forward. Clean balance sheet. Tailwinds as markets stay strong. Yield is 2.14%. (Analysts’ price target is $146.00)
Fairfax Financial (FFH-T) Feb 14
Prem Watsa engages in market timing, unlike Warren Buffett. Fairfax is a black box as to what it owns. Challenging business. Stuck in the mud for a while. If you want too look at good capital allocators in the P&C business, look at BRK.B, which he owns.
Strange fee structure. Be cautious in that India has little corporate governance. Better way to participate in EM is to own some of the great global companies, like Unilever, that benefit from the growth there and follow expected corporate governance.
Focused on the US sunbelt. Office industrial. There is a nice discount. The catalyst could be in the next quarter where they announce a spinout of at least one of their sectors. The new entity could have a better cost of capital or have a better growth rate.
Rifco Inc. (RFC-X) Feb 14
Most recent quarter was a great one. ROE was 28%. With all the stuff that is happening in the marketplace right now, there are a lot of concerns about Alberta specifically, and you also have a lot of concerns about financials. Thinks they put in a great quarter. To be a buyer of the stock,…
Great Canadian brand. Really likes the company. Out of his buy range. Volatile. Moves a lot around quarter releases. Long term, hard to see the growth to justify 38x PE. He might be interested around $20.
A solid company with a good balance sheet and nice yield. There is a modest opportunity for upside. Since 2012 they have traded between 2.5 and 3.5 times book, with a downward basis trend. The share price is unchanged in ten years and has added no value to investors in that time. He calls these…
He doesn’t know the seasonality on this, but the technicals show that it has been in an upward trend for quite a period of time. During the last little while, it has been in a trading range between around $19 and $22. It is not unusual for a lot of stocks in the consumer staples…
Investors are worried about Tim's turnaround, rising costs. Stock's way too cheap relative to the group. Good dividend. Sales up 31%. Growing around 14%, trading around 20x. Ability to grow is profound. Buy it around $79-80, and you can get a double in the next 5 years.
Yellow Pages Ltd (Y-T) Feb 11
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Likes the name and would be fine adding to it at current levels. Is well positioned and the management team is good. Results were okay last quarter, all things considered. Worst is most likely over. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Canadian Tire boasts a wide range of household goods at decent prices, but consumers will have much more choice in buying that patio set or baseball glove. True, last summer’s partial reopenings didn’t dent the stock price, but the Tire’s website still sucks. Price to cash flow is inline with its…
Future concerns him. Supply chain issues, cost inflation on goods and labour, massive pull forward in durable goods right now. There are only so many durable goods (such as vacuum cleaners) people need, and then demand drops off. One positive is vehicle repair, but he's firmly on the sidelines.
D-Box Technologies (DBO-T) Feb 14
A disappointment. Pandemic has been the nail in the coffin for movie theatres and DBO's motion systems. Simulation and industrial segments have been profitable. Treading water right now. Long road ahead. Wait and see before stepping in.
Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.
Input Capital Corp (INP-X) Feb 14
They do canola mainly. At these prices the stock is so cheap. He sold because he was not seeing enough capital being deployed in Canola streams.
🛢 Basic Materials
Canfor Corp (CFP-T) Feb 11
(A Top Pick Jul 02/21, Down 3%) A play over the next year. If you look at housing demand in US and Canada over the next 5 years, there will be increasing demand for lumber. Trading at only 2x this year's earnings. Earnings for 2022 will be solid.
Canfor Pulp Products (CFX-T) Feb 11
Seasonally, forest product stocks have a history of reaching a peak around the 3rd week in April. This year is no different. Probably an opportunity to take some money off table.
First Cobalt (FCC-X) Feb 11
Cobalt is attractive but this is not a cheap producer, because they're in Canada and not Russia or Congo.
Orvana Minerals (ORV-T) Feb 11
He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…
Belo Sun Mining (BSX-T) Feb 12
They have a large Brazilian gold deposit. The problem here are indigenous people challenges there and a government contract that pays out a crazy amount to the managers. This payout is not aligned to the shareholders' interests. Then again, it's a cheap stock vs. gold in the ground.
Lion One Metals Ltd. (LIO-X) Feb 12
Fiji is an interesting place. They have raised $85 Million last year when it was tough. If they get this thing going it will build up confidence. They are putting a relatively small scale gold mine into production while doing exploration. They should eventually get bought out.
There is no dividend. Sales are up but earnings are less negative rather than positive. Earnings growth forecast for this year is zero.
Taseko Mines Ltd. (TKO-T) Feb 12
This is on his watch list. He is not familiar with their fundamentals. Today's earnings release will help define their future.
West Fraser Timber (WFT-T) Feb 12
One of the biggest players in lumber. Paid some extra dividends from the lumber price strength. The biggest and probably safest way to play lumber. Prices are now normalizing. Social media mentions at 1050% over the last 24 hours.
(A Top Pick Jun 22/20, Up 132%) He would be a buyer. There is a disconnect with lumber prices. It deserves to be a higher price than where it is now.
Acadian Timber Corp (ADN-T) Feb 12
Lumber company with a good dividend and low payout ratio of 70%. The dividend looks safe. He does not expect a lot of capital returns. There are some cyclical risks with housing markets. There are 45% owned by Brookfield. A good income holding. Yield 6%
Barrick Gold (ABX-T) Feb 13
Major gold mining company. Where it will be in 5 years depends on its margins. Very labour- and capital-intensive. Price is set on the global market. If you want exposure to gold, eliminate the middleman and buy a gold bar or an ETF.
A lot of bad things like lawsuits have happened to CHE and it fell out of favour. It pays a good dividend, but it isn't totally safe. Don't hold in a registered account, in case you suffer a loss. [Note: audio problems]
Kinross Gold (K-T) Feb 13
Barrick Gold? He prefers Kirkland Lake and Agnico Eagle among the big producers, because they have better leverage and are streamlined. He always puts Barrick and Kinross in the same category. Kinross buys assets at low prices, but he'd rather buy the companies they buy than Kinross itself. (The one positive with Barrick is Warren…
$2.25 price target. Growing pains starting up a mine. He'd be averaging down. Issues always signal a really good entry point at cheap valuations. Have to be patient. This wouldn't be his only holding; he'd own it amongst at least 5-10 companies.
Getting to the right theme is the most important thing. Has a good basket of assets. Recently pulled back. It's a small cap, so you have to be careful. But it should continue to participate as long as base materials continue to improve.
There were a couple of subtle things went on with the trust conversion which discouraged a lot of investors. An illiquid stock. Most of their exposure is in B.C. and Alberta where housing is still very strong. Thinks we're at the peak of a cycle so don't have it as a long term hold.
She doesn't buy cyclical stocks, which TECK is. TECK depends on the price of underlying commodities, which in turn reflects overall economic growth in places like China. She'd rather buy companies with secular growth.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The company announced a very solid quarter with a strong outlook. Even with the big run up, the stock is cheap on all metrics with a very strong balance sheet. If there is global growth, the company looks very solid. Unlock Premium - Try 5i…
Commodities were in a 10-year bear market and only recently reversed. FCX has been the leader, and has just pulled back and is set for another leg up. He also owns HBM. All of these will benefit, as we're in a deficit of copper and will be for quite some time. EVs use more copper…
Goldcorp Inc (G-T) Feb 14
Lundin Mining Corp. (LUN-T) Feb 14
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. There is a new CEO who should address the lack of operational experience in management with some new hires. THe stock’s very low valuation reflects these concerns probably. The sector outlook should still be strong. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
New Gold Inc. (NGD-T) Feb 14
Doesn't think there will be a take-over soon. The CEO used to be the CEO of Richmond Mines. They now have an operator. On their watch list and he has confidence in management.
(A Top Pick Mar 15/19, Up 17%) It was bought back in October and so he does not hold this any longer.
Usually silver will lead gold by a little bit. Everything in silver right now is looking really, really good. Chart shows a downward pattern, but has reached the upper side of the channel and should be breaking out anytime now, and do quite well through to mid-March and maybe April, depending on the whole complex.…
Winpak Ltd. (WPK-T) Feb 14
Their customer base is the food industry and it does not grow that much. This company can only grow when they make acquisitions. There is nothing wrong with it but there is not enough upside to buy. It is a good company.
Yamana Gold Inc. (YRI-T) Feb 14
We are quite far away for the seasonally period for Gold. If you find gold increasing and the stocks increasing at the same time, the you can see YRI-T do very well. If the market sentiment is weak and gold is performing well, he would look to larger cap companies.
Goldmoney Inc (XAU-T) Feb 11
He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…
Hardware, software and services to help integrate phone calls between phones, laptops, text messages. You should look for upgraded guidance in the fall. They may pursue a NASDAQ listing in the US. (Analysts’ price target is $5.57)
Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T) Feb 12
Phenomenal company that will do well for years to come, but trades at a huge multiple. Profits are small. Risk/reward is not there. He expects tech to lose its gold status over the next year, so this could fall 40%.
They recently had a joint venture with Baker-Hughes (BHGE-N), where Baker Hughes is co-marketing one of their products. It would make sense for Baker Hughes to take over this company. Schlumberger (SLB-N) is the only company with a competing product. (Analysts’ price target is $9.50.)
(A Top Pick Jul 06/20, Up 35%) Canadians should be really proud of this one. It stacks up with the best. Extremely well run. Founder is still involved. Doesn't spend a lot of money. Not a lot of debt. High and consistent ROIC. Doesn't issue shares. His largest position.
(A Top Pick Sep 22/20, Up 16%) It is growing nicely but what hit it was that they announced a very large acquisition. There is enormous synergies going forward. They have 80% recurring revenue. This is a really good time to get into this company.
Sierra Wireless (SW-T) Feb 13
He follows this, but does not own it. They just reported an earnings miss. He does not see their business model panning out on the financial statements. Now trading under $12, he expects more downward pressure.
Tucows Inc. (TC-T) Feb 13
(A Top Pick Jul 29/20, Up 17%) #2 in the domain business. A cash cow. Steady and predictable. Also have a mobile business and a fibre business. In this environment, expects them to have many more installations and business should boom. Top management. Would buy at these levels.
Generally not a fan of the Chinese inter-listed companies. He has a Short position in this one. There are better places to be.
PrairieSky Royalty (PSK-T) Feb 11
Great long-term land position, tilted toward natural gas which should benefit them in coming quarters. Performance was especially poor in the downdraft, as it had been a darling. Cut dividend. He owns FRU instead, a bit smaller and has returned their dividend, and they have catalysts with acquisitions south of the border. Both names will…
Can see a 40% upside here. Goal is to pay down debt and stream out the free cashflow. The inventory depth of the asset, it is trading at 18% free cashflow. Future dividend is possible. Everything looks good in the sector, so you must chose the best option.
Cenovus Energy (CVE-T) Feb 13
These days, you want to own the larger cap players. They all plan to cut back spending, reduce debt, increase dividend, buy back shares. He owns CNQ instead. Won't be massive increases in exploration and production. Oil is not going away.
Tag Oil Ltd. (TAO-T) Feb 13
(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Tag Oil (TAO-T) and Short Imperial Oil (IMO-T). Down 42.51%.) Did an equity issue last fall at about $4.40, which the Street didn’t like. This is a New Zealand oil/gas play and they have about 5 or 6 catalysts coming up in terms of major wells.
Encana Corp (ECA-T) Feb 14
Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…
Inter Pipeline (IPL-T) Feb 14
In the midst of a bidding war. More of a hold than a buy. Prospects for material upside are not very high. Better opportunities elsewhere. If you made profits, take some and invest in something like GEI or even TWM, if you have a higher risk tolerance.
Precision Drilling (PD-T) Feb 14
We are on a different cycle than in the past. The business model has shifted which is now positive for oil macro. Oil production growth is no longer elastic to rising oil prices. They are now taking free cashflow and companies are now buying back stocks. There is an opportunity for a rerate. Owned it…
Superior Plus Corp (SPB-T) Feb 14
Cross-currents this winter with increases in prices. Likes the company broadly. He'd prefer a pipeline, especially in a RRIF, with more potential for capital appreciation and dividend growth.
TransCanada Corp (TRP-T) Feb 14
He owns this and ENB. You need to own stocks with secure dividends and contracted revenues, namely capital projects that'll raise cash flow over time. You get a bit more of a yield premium with ENB vs. TRP, but he likes both. Solid assets.
Ceres Global Ag (CRP-T) Feb 12
(A Top Pick April 3/14. Down 12%.) A fully integrated agricultural company with a railroad to their elevators along with production of legumes and wheat. Thinks it should deliver quite nicely this summer because of what is going on in California. Feels drought is going to haunt us from a food inflation perspective.
This is a funny one. The book value is $4.80. They started a few more projects in China. It is not for him, but he can see why somebody would like it.
Waste Connections (WCN-T) Feb 13
Dividend growth? Hoping for growth in the dividend, but it hasn't grown the way he'd like. Fuel and labour costs are increasing. Stable, well run. High multiple and low yield, which is a caution signal, but money keeps flowing in. A basic need, but price is too high for the return. Yield is 0.6%.
Bombardier Inc (B) (BBD.B-T) Feb 14
Top performer on the TSX this year. Every penny stock has its day. Rough time for years. Holding garage sales for the last 10 years. Problematic. They've burned all the furniture, and they're down to card tables and plastic chairs. Taxpayers have been bailing it out. Low margin, high risk.
Toromont Industries (TIH-T) Feb 14
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The company looks pretty good today. The valuation is now down slightly although the fundamentals remain sound. A good buying opportunity. Cash balance has increased and it continues to grow its equity position.EPS is projected to grow quite nicely. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Telus Corp (T-T) Feb 14
He likes the sector but this is not his top pick in the sector because of the high valuation. RCI.B-T would have more growth ahead of it. Decent dividends, stable earnings are great for this sector, though. He thinks telecoms should be valued higher across the board.
Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.
Happy trading !!!