Aurora Cannabis, Canopy and More Earnings this Week (Feb 11-15)

It's been a wild ride. The valuation across all the names are still quite high. With what we are seeing with legislation in the US, he would still tend to look at these. Stick with it.

US focused. Lifts, supports, oxygen services. They've been acquirers. Brought debt down, increased profit margin, grown geographically. Still very attractively valued compared to its peers. Could be a takeover target.

They make life easier for large diagnostic test companies. It automates the testing process. They did a final financing. They've been working on this technology for 5 years.

This is another company in the cannabis space. This is not a cannabis producer, it is a company that adds value in that space. They are mapping cannabinoids, looking for different formulations to treat different diseases.It is highly speculative, but he thinks there is opportunity for this type of company. He likes the management. In…

Doesn't know this well. They're in the cannabis sector, more in the extraction market, an area that will continue to expand. He's watching their progress in earnings.

(A Top Pick Dec 09/19, Up 30%) Still likes this long-term, but he's now focused on U.S. weed names. He prefers other names.

(A Top Pick Mar 10/20, Up 14%) REIT spin off from Canadian Tire. Did very well relative to other REITs. Challenge is rising interest rates. Performs like bond proxies. Look at it as an alternative to bonds but it could see pressure from interest rate rising.

Making changes to be able to invest more in foreign stocks. Wait to see how they do.

(A Top Pick April 25/16. Up 16.15%.) A small investment management firm. Historically they have done very well in investing in both public and private oil companies, and buying and selling assets. They delivered a special $2 dividend to shareholders in June. He is a little less bullish on this now. Trading at a slight…

He's generally positive this. They're operated well during the pandemic. About 70% of their portfolio is in Atlantic Canada, which is stable. They've tried growing in Ontario and BC. Their valuation has hung in better than their peers. But he prefers REITs in hard-hit centres like Toronto's and Montreal's business cores Still a good REIT…

(A Top Pick June 1/17, Up 12%) A great manager. Out of Alberta with very good western properties. He sold during its recent highs, but still likes it.

A hold. A value name in apartments in Canada and the U.S. He's impressed with how stable their Toronto portfolio is, holding occupancy quite well. MGR is in the US sunbelt and Chicago. MRG is higher-leveraged. He's seeking REITs that are defensive. He doesn't see as much growth here vs. the REITs he already owns.…

Heavily into retail, so has had a difficult time. Trades at a significant discount to NAV, and it's finally under-distributing, which is safer. Hold it, and hope for the recovery. Expects numbers to improve. Projects are coming online. The worst is behind them.

A recovery story. Best in class, best assets. Theme of stay at home will wane. There's a more hybrid solution, and its stable of smaller tech and healthcare tenants will benefit. Trades at a 15% discount to NAV. Yield is 4.04%. (Analysts’ price target is $45.23)

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CT REIT (Canadian Tire) vs. Choice Properties (Loblaw) based on dividends for seniors He likes both REITs. Both dividends are safe, Choice paying 5.4% and CT 4.9%, and both well run. He owns Choice and bullish their outlook. He likes Loblaw as an operator and there is opportunity here. CT is very stable, with their…

(A Top Pick Dec 27/19, Up 7%) For a real estate company, it has survived well, due to its industrial real estate holdings. He likes it, but doesn't own it now; the space became too uncertain. He bought it for its yield until the pandemic made real estate too uncertain.

Used to own this. Pre-Covid they were a good asset creator through buying and integrating those assets. Problem is they also own retail, which could be a problem for a while. This exposure is a concern. Overall, though he likes the managers and the company.

Could easily be over $30, or not. Long-term performance has been ugly since the financial crisis. Lack of growth, hard to understand the valuation. Interest rates rising could be a tailwind. Hard to evaluate the business quality.

Tough to own. Retail, office, some industrial. Deep value, but doesn't see a catalyst. He's not a buyer of enclosed mall office or retail.

Walmart is their anchor tenant, so Smart is rock-solid stable. They collected a high percentage of rents during the pandemic. But prospects are limited. SRU may see only 1-2% rent growth when new space comes to market, far below to peers of 5-10% like Riocan. He prefers grocery-anchored shopping centres, like First Capital REIT.

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Looks to have faster growth compared to its competitors. It survived the 2008 crisis better than MFC. It is still cheap. A slight premium valuation due to perception as a better company. Good dividend growth record. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

Defensive, financial business. Will benefit from rising stock prices. Exchange listing, but also a data analytics business. Way undervalued for the quality. Wants to see management unlock its value. $175+ stock going forward. Clean balance sheet. Tailwinds as markets stay strong. Yield is 2.14%. (Analysts’ price target is $146.00)

The BAM-BPY deal where BAM will buy out this subsidiary. Caller is selling BPY on a gain. Should I take the BPY preferred (offered in this deal) or buy it on my own? He's looking for a dividend and believes in Brookfield management. If you can, get the preferred BPY in this deal, because it…

Ultimately, when yields rise, income goes up. How much will yields go up? The global economy cannot handle higher interest rates. Insurance companies are doing better, but he does not expect it to last beyond the next 6 months.

Populated by public and private investments in India. One stock he would tuck away for 10 years. India is the largest democracy, and corporate tax cuts have been encouraging. Fundamentals are looking great for India.

He doesn't own REITs now, especially in offices and retail. How long will it take for their occupancy to return? In REITs, you pay around 90% earnings so there's little wiggle room for error. He'd rather buy retirement homes like Chartwell and Sienna, which offer better growth.

Most recent quarter was a great one. ROE was 28%. With all the stuff that is happening in the marketplace right now, there are a lot of concerns about Alberta specifically, and you also have a lot of concerns about financials. Thinks they put in a great quarter. To be a buyer of the stock,…

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks In early February, GOOS stock reported a blow-out beat of its Q3 revenues and profits, and shares popped nearly 30%. Much credit goes to its e-commerce channel, where online sales have jumped 39.3% in that quarter to allowed Canada Goose to post revenue growth for the first time during Covid. Keep…

A solid company with a good balance sheet and nice yield. There is a modest opportunity for upside. Since 2012 they have traded between 2.5 and 3.5 times book, with a downward basis trend. The share price is unchanged in ten years and has added no value to investors in that time. He calls these…

He doesn’t know the seasonality on this, but the technicals show that it has been in an upward trend for quite a period of time. During the last little while, it has been in a trading range between around $19 and $22. It is not unusual for a lot of stocks in the consumer staples…

They have three strong restaurant brands. The challenge he has is that the business model is to go in, gut the company and bring the costs down. With Tim Hortons there was a huge push-back from franchises and this hurt them.

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Stands out as one of the best run of the Canadian quick serves. Great growth strategy. Execute well. Hit by pandemic, but the dividend will come back. Short-term blip in a great long-term story. Hold it if you own it. Has potential to continue to surprise.

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Canadian Tire boasts a wide range of household goods at decent prices, but consumers will have much more choice in buying that patio set or baseball glove. True, last summer’s partial reopenings didn’t dent the stock price, but the Tire’s website still sucks. Price to cash flow is inline with its…

Pays a 2.5% dividend, but generates a lot of cash flow at 17.1% cash flow yield. Earnings to grow 14% in 2022 or 11.7x PE. Analysts have bumped up earnings estimates by 2% in the past 90 days. An analyst today said this is trading at historic oversold levels in the past decade. (Analysts’ price…

They produce motion systems used in movie theatres, but also for industrial applications, like simulations in aeronautics, video games and VR. However, their big market was movies and we all know what happened to movie theatres during the pandemic. DBO's big market has dried up and probably for many years; he doesn't see theatre chains…

Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.

They do canola mainly. At these prices the stock is so cheap. He sold because he was not seeing enough capital being deployed in Canola streams.

(A Top Pick Jan 27/20, Up 109%) He sold, albeit early. A commodity, so can be cyclical. Demand continues to be strong in NA, with tight market supply.

Seasonally, forest product stocks have a history of reaching a peak around the 3rd week in April. This year is no different. Probably an opportunity to take some money off table.

Cobalt is attractive but this is not a cheap producer, because they're in Canada and not Russia or Congo.

He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…

They have a large Brazilian gold deposit. The problem here are indigenous people challenges there and a government contract that pays out a crazy amount to the managers. This payout is not aligned to the shareholders' interests. Then again, it's a cheap stock vs. gold in the ground.

Fiji is an interesting place. They have raised $85 Million last year when it was tough. If they get this thing going it will build up confidence. They are putting a relatively small scale gold mine into production while doing exploration. They should eventually get bought out.

There is no dividend. Sales are up but earnings are less negative rather than positive. Earnings growth forecast for this year is zero.

This is on his watch list. He is not familiar with their fundamentals. Today's earnings release will help define their future.

Lumber prices have soared YOY over 300%. Free cash flow yield at 14.4% is very high. The latest report said that earnings were up 50% and earnings are forecast to grow 35% to $16 ROE in 2021 at a PE of 6.4x. Analyst estimates have jumped 81%. (Analysts’ price target is $112.68)

A little more expensive than WFG and less ROE. Has had quite a good run but would stick to WFG or Interfor. Would sell this for other larger players.

Lumber company with a good dividend and low payout ratio of 70%. The dividend looks safe. He does not expect a lot of capital returns. There are some cyclical risks with housing markets. There are 45% owned by Brookfield. A good income holding. Yield 6%

One of his favourite safer gold plays. Tremendous focus on profitability. Conservative assumptions, cost cutting make it well positioned. The space has been difficult recently. Still has a positive, fundamental view on gold longer term.

135% payout ratio, not sustainable. But if business returns, as he thinks it will, payout ratio will go down to 62%. Real problem is balance sheet. Need to focus on asset sales. Has upside, but pretty risky. Better yield stories elsewhere.

Barrick Gold? He prefers Kirkland Lake and Agnico Eagle among the big producers, because they have better leverage and are streamlined. He always puts Barrick and Kinross in the same category. Kinross buys assets at low prices, but he'd rather buy the companies they buy than Kinross itself. (The one positive with Barrick is Warren…

A smart group of guys. They are putting a fair bit of work into proving their concept is right. They seem to be backing up their thesis. It is looking like it is working so far.

Getting to the right theme is the most important thing. Has a good basket of assets. Recently pulled back. It's a small cap, so you have to be careful. But it should continue to participate as long as base materials continue to improve.

There were a couple of subtle things went on with the trust conversion which discouraged a lot of investors. An illiquid stock. Most of their exposure is in B.C. and Alberta where housing is still very strong. Thinks we're at the peak of a cycle so don't have it as a long term hold.

China and India demand coal It's a cyclical stock, selling coal and copper. The tightness in the coal market is due to China refusing imports from Australia, which benefits other suppliers. As for copper, Teck is building a copper mine in Chile, delayed last year because of Covid, but expected to be onstream in late-2022.…

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The company announced a very solid quarter with a strong outlook. Even with the big run up, the stock is cheap on all metrics with a very strong balance sheet. If there is global growth, the company looks very solid. Unlock Premium - Try 5i…

Commodities were in a 10-year bear market and only recently reversed. FCX has been the leader, and has just pulled back and is set for another leg up. He also owns HBM. All of these will benefit, as we're in a deficit of copper and will be for quite some time. EVs use more copper…

(A Top Pick Oct 12/18, Up 2%) He still likes gold, Newmont (which acquired G-T) and Goldcorp.

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. One of the preferred stocks in the metals space. It also gives you exposure to copper. Has net debt but the balance sheet is okay. Less risky than others in the space. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

Doesn't think there will be a take-over soon. The CEO used to be the CEO of Richmond Mines. They now have an operator. On their watch list and he has confidence in management.

(A Top Pick Mar 15/19, Up 17%) It was bought back in October and so he does not hold this any longer.

Usually silver will lead gold by a little bit. Everything in silver right now is looking really, really good. Chart shows a downward pattern, but has reached the upper side of the channel and should be breaking out anytime now, and do quite well through to mid-March and maybe April, depending on the whole complex.…

Their customer base is the food industry and it does not grow that much. This company can only grow when they make acquisitions. There is nothing wrong with it but there is not enough upside to buy. It is a good company.

We are quite far away for the seasonally period for Gold. If you find gold increasing and the stocks increasing at the same time, the you can see YRI-T do very well. If the market sentiment is weak and gold is performing well, he would look to larger cap companies.

He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…

Unified communications industry. A nice move late last year. Recently announced a pretty large acquisition, which brings up percentage of recurring revenue. Will turn out to be a good acquisition. Good entry point here.

For a few months it was the biggest company in Canada, surpassing RY-T. He used to own SHOP-T. He moved on because of high expectations and valuations. The concerns remain and are greater now than three years ago. It's going to face difficult comparisons to last year as we return to normalcy during 2021. They…

They recently had a joint venture with Baker-Hughes (BHGE-N), where Baker Hughes is co-marketing one of their products. It would make sense for Baker Hughes to take over this company. Schlumberger (SLB-N) is the only company with a competing product. (Analysts’ price target is $9.50.)

One of the few companies in the world that respects shareholders and employees. Loves the company. A core holding. Excited about the spinoff Topicus. They're going to put more cash to work as they see opportunities. Fine over the long term.

(A Top Pick Apr 28/20, Up 137%) They offer e-commerce services for big, complex companies like Sobeys and IGA (vs. Shopify which serves small businesses). They just scored a huge deal with Aldi (https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/12/14/2144279/0/en/Aldi-signs-agreement-with-mdf-commerce-for-the-implementation-of-Click-Collect-grocery-service.html). MDF also enables supplier to bid on government contracts. They do a lot of M&A in this segment. About 80% of…

He follows this, but does not own it. They just reported an earnings miss. He does not see their business model panning out on the financial statements. Now trading under $12, he expects more downward pressure.

(A Top Pick Jul 29/20, Up 17%) #2 in the domain business. A cash cow. Steady and predictable. Also have a mobile business and a fibre business. In this environment, expects them to have many more installations and business should boom. Top management. Would buy at these levels.

Generally not a fan of the Chinese inter-listed companies. He has a Short position in this one. There are better places to be.

Likes royalty because there is less business risk. However, it is not risk free. Probably a good buy on dips. The reflation trade is interesting. For the next 6-12 months, it is okay for a trade.

Smaller Canadian energy stocks will benefit from gas demand when people travel in the summer. BIR is more focussed on natural gas, which will enjoy a rally following he Texas freeze recently. However, swings in energy prices in Canada will remain and making money will remain difficult. He prefers the safer CNQ, Suncor or Tourmaline.…

(A Top Pick Apr 03/20, Up 181%) Bought Husky and gained scale. Became more integrated. It did take away some leverage to rising oil price. Took on debt they are aggressively paying down. Only large cap he owns right now. Highest free cashflow leverage, at 9% free cashflow at $60. Doubles at $70 oil. Could…

(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Tag Oil (TAO-T) and Short Imperial Oil (IMO-T). Down 42.51%.) Did an equity issue last fall at about $4.40, which the Street didn’t like. This is a New Zealand oil/gas play and they have about 5 or 6 catalysts coming up in terms of major wells.

Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…

Headwinds when demands fall off. Average at best. He prefers companies with better pricing and opportunities to invest cashflows. When buying just for the dividend, bad things can happen.

(A Top Pick Feb 12/20, Down 9%) He used to own 5% of the company and made a 40% profit in a few months--but he sold it way too early. Give this lesson, now he'd rather sit on oil names and ride it out, or else he'll miss the upside. Companies like this won't spend…

(A Top Pick Dec 13/19, Up 10%) It hasn't stumbled during this pandemic. Incredibly consistent business, distributing propane across North America, such as Quebec. The stock had plunged from $12 to $6 during the pandemic, but they will get through this pandemic without lasting issues. (SPB was fine, but the market was irrational. SPB is…

TRP vs. ENB Nothing wrong with it except the cancelling of Keystone. Still a fantastic business. Great assets. Fewer pipelines increases the value of those assets. Has underperformed. He owns ENB, with its better growth profile.

(A Top Pick April 3/14. Down 12%.) A fully integrated agricultural company with a railroad to their elevators along with production of legumes and wheat. Thinks it should deliver quite nicely this summer because of what is going on in California. Feels drought is going to haunt us from a food inflation perspective.

This is a funny one. The book value is $4.80. They started a few more projects in China. It is not for him, but he can see why somebody would like it.

Barbell approach to navigating economic uncertainty over the next 12-18 months. Defensible, resilient cashflows. On the other hand, if the economy takes off, there will be more waste from industry. Best in class management and EBITDA margins, free cashflow. In a good position to do some M&A. Yield is 0.84%. (Analysts’ price target is $145.35)

They have too much debt for their business model. Before at least they were more diversified but getting rid of their metro car division makes it operate in a narrow space. It is a risky bet. The C-Series put them in a massive hold.

TIH vs. CAT Instead of Caterpillar, he prefers Toromont, which has higher dividend growth and better price performance.

(A Top Pick Apr 01/20, Up 20%) It is his telco of choice. Through COVID they actually grew their subscriber count. Wireline phone subscriptions went up, but roaming went down. Telus health has grown explosively.