Aurora Cannabis, Canopy and More Earnings this Week (Feb 11-15)
The markets have been doing well, and investors are keeping a close eye on this week’s earning reports from a great number of Canadian large-cap stocks. Cannabis giants Aurora Cannabis (ACB-T), and Canopy (WEED-T) are both reporting their earnings this week. Other big names this week include Canadian Tire (CTC.A-T) , Shopify (SHOP-T) and, Telus (T-T) as well as Bombardier (BBD.B-T).
Here are the companies on Stockchase that are reporting earnings this week:
Aurora Cannabis (ACB-T) Feb 11
It's been a wild ride. The valuation across all the names are still quite high. With what we are seeing with legislation in the US, he would still tend to look at these. Stick with it.
SQI Diagnostics Inc. (SQD-X) Feb 11
They make life easier for large diagnostic test companies. It automates the testing process. They did a final financing. They've been working on this technology for 5 years.
Inmed Pharmaceuticals (IN-T) Feb 12
This is another company in the cannabis space. This is not a cannabis producer, it is a company that adds value in that space. They are mapping cannabinoids, looking for different formulations to treat different diseases.It is highly speculative, but he thinks there is opportunity for this type of company. He likes the management. In…
Doesn't know this well. They're in the cannabis sector, more in the extraction market, an area that will continue to expand. He's watching their progress in earnings.
Canopy Growth Corp. (WEED-T) Feb 14
(A Top Pick Dec 09/19, Up 30%) Still likes this long-term, but he's now focused on U.S. weed names. He prefers other names.
(A Top Pick Mar 10/20, Up 14%) REIT spin off from Canadian Tire. Did very well relative to other REITs. Challenge is rising interest rates. Performs like bond proxies. Look at it as an alternative to bonds but it could see pressure from interest rate rising.
United Corps. (UNC-T) Feb 11
Clarke Inc. (CKI-T) Feb 12
(A Top Pick April 25/16. Up 16.15%.) A small investment management firm. Historically they have done very well in investing in both public and private oil companies, and buying and selling assets. They delivered a special $2 dividend to shareholders in June. He is a little less bullish on this now. Trading at a slight…
Among Canadian apartment REITs, CAP REIT gets all the love, but also the price appreciation. Actually, Killam's chart is nearly identical to CAP REIT year-to-date and pays a healthy 3.88% dividend yield (CAP REIT pays 2.84%). Whereas CAP REIT is centered on Toronto, Killam focuses on Atlantic Canada, namely Halifax and Charlottetown. Another difference is…
(A Top Pick June 1/17, Up 12%) A great manager. Out of Alberta with very good western properties. He sold during its recent highs, but still likes it.
A hold. A value name in apartments in Canada and the U.S. He's impressed with how stable their Toronto portfolio is, holding occupancy quite well. MGR is in the US sunbelt and Chicago. MRG is higher-leveraged. He's seeking REITs that are defensive. He doesn't see as much growth here vs. the REITs he already owns.…
He focuses little on the distribution, but rather on the total return. This one he likes. They have great management. The market was not giving them credit for the resiliency of their portfolio. He would continue to hold on to it.
A recovery story. Best in class, best assets. Theme of stay at home will wane. There's a more hybrid solution, and its stable of smaller tech and healthcare tenants will benefit. Trades at a 15% discount to NAV. Yield is 4.04%. (Analysts’ price target is $45.23)
Atrium Mortgages (AI-T) Feb 13
He really likes this one. It is heavily weighted toward retail. 95% of its retail centers are anchored by a grocery store or Shoppers Drug Mart. They are almost going at a premium from pre-pandemic values. This tells you how resilient the cash flow is. They have an office portfolio but he likes that their…
(A Top Pick Dec 27/19, Up 7%) For a real estate company, it has survived well, due to its industrial real estate holdings. He likes it, but doesn't own it now; the space became too uncertain. He bought it for its yield until the pandemic made real estate too uncertain.
First Capital Realty (FCR-T) Feb 13
He had avoided the retail space but is now bullish on necessity-based shopping and that is what they address. The stock has been depressed because cash flows came off during the pandemic and they cut the distribution temporarily for probably two years. It is trading at a big discount to net asset value. He likes…
Manulife Financial (MFC-T) Feb 13
Really likes it. Not expensive multiple. Likes the Asian franchise. Asset management has done well. Hurt by low interest rates. Stable.
Tough to own. Retail, office, some industrial. Deep value, but doesn't see a catalyst. He's not a buyer of enclosed mall office or retail.
Smart REIT (SRU.UN-T) Feb 13
It is a great company. There is not necessarily a grocery component in their centers. It is trading on parity with net asset value. It has the lowest earnings growth amongst its peers and so he is not looking to own this stock today. The yield is solid, however.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Management team is superior to MFC. Execution, growth and conservatism is also of higher quality. SLF has outperformed in 2021, though MFC has done better over one year. A good buy-and-forget stock.
TMX Group (X-T) Feb 13
Defensive, financial business. Will benefit from rising stock prices. Exchange listing, but also a data analytics business. Way undervalued for the quality. Wants to see management unlock its value. $175+ stock going forward. Clean balance sheet. Tailwinds as markets stay strong. Yield is 2.14%. (Analysts’ price target is $146.00)
A must-own. Their infrastructure, renewable power and BBU stocks and divisions are all great and you can own any of them. Their private equity division is on fire and is the real kicker in owning BAM. It'll grow and can own it long term. Of course, buying on dips like 5% is good.
Fairfax Financial (FFH-T) Feb 14
If we get inflation that translates into higher long term interest rates then it should help insurance companies. It has a big equity portfolio compared to others. The risk-reward ratio is different. He prefers MFC-T.
Populated by public and private investments in India. One stock he would tuck away for 10 years. India is the largest democracy, and corporate tax cuts have been encouraging. Fundamentals are looking great for India.
It is a large, diversified REIT. It is recovering from the pandemic. It is trading $3-4 below its pre-COVID high. It is a good one to hold on to.
Rifco Inc. (RFC-X) Feb 14
Most recent quarter was a great one. ROE was 28%. With all the stuff that is happening in the marketplace right now, there are a lot of concerns about Alberta specifically, and you also have a lot of concerns about financials. Thinks they put in a great quarter. To be a buyer of the stock,…
A brand that everyone in the world wants to own. There is always a bit of risk in these high flying brands. He can't step in here. Boy are they on a tear. It is priced at a hefty level.
A solid company with a good balance sheet and nice yield. There is a modest opportunity for upside. Since 2012 they have traded between 2.5 and 3.5 times book, with a downward basis trend. The share price is unchanged in ten years and has added no value to investors in that time. He calls these…
He doesn’t know the seasonality on this, but the technicals show that it has been in an upward trend for quite a period of time. During the last little while, it has been in a trading range between around $19 and $22. It is not unusual for a lot of stocks in the consumer staples…
I a good entry point now, despite the 38x PE. The stock is kinda underowned, with some saying QSR locations are saturated in Canada. WSR has done well in the last quarter. EPS growth is 22% and pays a 3.3% dividend yield. Likes it.
Yellow Pages Ltd (Y-T) Feb 11
Stands out as one of the best run of the Canadian quick serves. Great growth strategy. Execute well. Hit by pandemic, but the dividend will come back. Short-term blip in a great long-term story. Hold it if you own it. Has potential to continue to surprise.
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Canadian Tire boasts a wide range of household goods at decent prices, but consumers will have much more choice in buying that patio set or baseball glove. True, last summer’s partial reopenings didn’t dent the stock price, but the Tire’s website still sucks. Price to cash flow is inline with its…
They've been awfully impressive this last year. They have limited growth, being stuck in Canada. Good dividend. If he owned it, he'd hold. Other areas of the market have more upside. One you don't lose sleep over. They have capital to make some kind of acquisition.
D-Box Technologies (DBO-T) Feb 14
A disappointment. Pandemic has been the nail in the coffin for movie theatres and DBO's motion systems. Simulation and industrial segments have been profitable. Treading water right now. Long road ahead. Wait and see before stepping in.
Doesn't know this company. Loves the space. Names with a good name, like "green" move well. They produce organic foods, and people are looking to eat healthier. Fancy name. Fancy products.
Input Capital Corp (INP-X) Feb 14
They do canola mainly. At these prices the stock is so cheap. He sold because he was not seeing enough capital being deployed in Canola streams.
🛢 Basic Materials
Canfor Corp (CFP-T) Feb 11
Largest operator in North America of lumber mills. After a decade of low lumber prices, Canadian lumber capacity has severely curtailed. This gives the backdrop for huge cash flows out of forest products area. Trading at 2x 2021 earnings. Could double over the next year. (Analysts’ price target is $43.00)
Canfor Pulp Products (CFX-T) Feb 11
Seasonally, forest product stocks have a history of reaching a peak around the 3rd week in April. This year is no different. Probably an opportunity to take some money off table.
First Cobalt (FCC-X) Feb 11
Cobalt is attractive but this is not a cheap producer, because they're in Canada and not Russia or Congo.
Orvana Minerals (ORV-T) Feb 11
He owns it around these levels. They have mines in Bolivia and Spain and looking to acquire in Argentina. The property they just bought has costs of $500-$650 per ounce of gold. He is concerned about the revolving door on management. He does not know where gold prices are going to go. He will continue…
Belo Sun Mining (BSX-T) Feb 12
They have a large Brazilian gold deposit. The problem here are indigenous people challenges there and a government contract that pays out a crazy amount to the managers. This payout is not aligned to the shareholders' interests. Then again, it's a cheap stock vs. gold in the ground.
Lion One Metals Ltd. (LIO-X) Feb 12
Fiji is an interesting place. They have raised $85 Million last year when it was tough. If they get this thing going it will build up confidence. They are putting a relatively small scale gold mine into production while doing exploration. They should eventually get bought out.
There is no dividend. Sales are up but earnings are less negative rather than positive. Earnings growth forecast for this year is zero.
Taseko Mines Ltd. (TKO-T) Feb 12
This is on his watch list. He is not familiar with their fundamentals. Today's earnings release will help define their future.
West Fraser Timber (WFT-T) Feb 12
The lumber stocks had an incredible run with lumber prices running up. One of the biggest player in lumber. It paid some extra dividends. Lumber prices are now normalizing. Biggest and probably the safest.
(A Top Pick Jun 22/20, Up 132%) He would be a buyer. There is a disconnect with lumber prices. It deserves to be a higher price than where it is now.
Acadian Timber Corp (ADN-T) Feb 12
Lumber company with a good dividend and low payout ratio of 70%. The dividend looks safe. He does not expect a lot of capital returns. There are some cyclical risks with housing markets. There are 45% owned by Brookfield. A good income holding. Yield 6%
Barrick Gold (ABX-T) Feb 13
A good opportunity in Barrick. Well run. Could be a good alternative investment to bonds. (Analysts’ price target is $35.11)
A lot of bad things like lawsuits have happened to CHE and it fell out of favour. It pays a good dividend, but it isn't totally safe. Don't hold in a registered account, in case you suffer a loss. [Note: audio problems]
Kinross Gold (K-T) Feb 13
Barrick Gold? He prefers Kirkland Lake and Agnico Eagle among the big producers, because they have better leverage and are streamlined. He always puts Barrick and Kinross in the same category. Kinross buys assets at low prices, but he'd rather buy the companies they buy than Kinross itself. (The one positive with Barrick is Warren…
$2.25 price target. Growing pains starting up a mine. He'd be averaging down. Issues always signal a really good entry point at cheap valuations. Have to be patient. This wouldn't be his only holding; he'd own it amongst at least 5-10 companies.
Getting to the right theme is the most important thing. Has a good basket of assets. Recently pulled back. It's a small cap, so you have to be careful. But it should continue to participate as long as base materials continue to improve.
There were a couple of subtle things went on with the trust conversion which discouraged a lot of investors. An illiquid stock. Most of their exposure is in B.C. and Alberta where housing is still very strong. Thinks we're at the peak of a cycle so don't have it as a long term hold.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The recent trend is probably due to the overall market and not specific to the company. Inflation fears are starting to subside over the course of the last weeks. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The company announced a very solid quarter with a strong outlook. Even with the big run up, the stock is cheap on all metrics with a very strong balance sheet. If there is global growth, the company looks very solid. Unlock Premium - Try 5i…
Commodities were in a 10-year bear market and only recently reversed. FCX has been the leader, and has just pulled back and is set for another leg up. He also owns HBM. All of these will benefit, as we're in a deficit of copper and will be for quite some time. EVs use more copper…
Goldcorp Inc (G-T) Feb 14
Lundin Mining Corp. (LUN-T) Feb 14
Copper demand will continue to be brisk with EV, new house construction, and especially China. Free cashflow grew, earnings are expected to grow. Basing formation to the upside. Yield is 1.68%. (Analysts’ price target is $16.06)
New Gold Inc. (NGD-T) Feb 14
Doesn't think there will be a take-over soon. The CEO used to be the CEO of Richmond Mines. They now have an operator. On their watch list and he has confidence in management.
(A Top Pick Mar 15/19, Up 17%) It was bought back in October and so he does not hold this any longer.
Usually silver will lead gold by a little bit. Everything in silver right now is looking really, really good. Chart shows a downward pattern, but has reached the upper side of the channel and should be breaking out anytime now, and do quite well through to mid-March and maybe April, depending on the whole complex.…
Winpak Ltd. (WPK-T) Feb 14
Their customer base is the food industry and it does not grow that much. This company can only grow when they make acquisitions. There is nothing wrong with it but there is not enough upside to buy. It is a good company.
Yamana Gold Inc. (YRI-T) Feb 14
We are quite far away for the seasonally period for Gold. If you find gold increasing and the stocks increasing at the same time, the you can see YRI-T do very well. If the market sentiment is weak and gold is performing well, he would look to larger cap companies.
Goldmoney Inc (XAU-T) Feb 11
He rarely talks about Gold. He thinks it is a strong sector bet. It is been out of favor for so long that mines have closed, productions have closed, mergers and acquisitions happened. Central Banks are now massive buyers of Gold. they want to get out of the US dollar. The Fed is not raising…
Recent acquisition will help them transform to a faster growth company with more customers, recurring revenue from SaaS, and US exposure. Likes management. Main reason share price has pulled back is the correction in growth stocks. Looks cheap here, and he's been adding at these levels.
Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T) Feb 12
His top pick in the past. He's owned this for a long time and never sold. It's a great story. It'll probably double in the next five years. A must-buy for Canadian investors. But it's fickle--its valuation can move around. Don't buy it now. Wait for a pullback to $1,500-1,600. He expects this to go…
They recently had a joint venture with Baker-Hughes (BHGE-N), where Baker Hughes is co-marketing one of their products. It would make sense for Baker Hughes to take over this company. Schlumberger (SLB-N) is the only company with a competing product. (Analysts’ price target is $9.50.)
Business model is great, scalable, and repeatable. Disciplined process for capital investment. With high tech valuations, he was scared off by the growth by acquisition model, but shouldn't have been. A good long-term hold.
(A Top Pick Jun 16/20, Up 72%) Benefiting from migration to e-commerce. Big clients, including global ones. Making acquisitions which are synergistic. High margin, recurring SaaS revenues. Dirt cheap at 2x revenues. Undervalued.
Sierra Wireless (SW-T) Feb 13
He follows this, but does not own it. They just reported an earnings miss. He does not see their business model panning out on the financial statements. Now trading under $12, he expects more downward pressure.
Tucows Inc. (TC-T) Feb 13
(A Top Pick Jul 29/20, Up 17%) #2 in the domain business. A cash cow. Steady and predictable. Also have a mobile business and a fibre business. In this environment, expects them to have many more installations and business should boom. Top management. Would buy at these levels.
Generally not a fan of the Chinese inter-listed companies. He has a Short position in this one. There are better places to be.
PrairieSky Royalty (PSK-T) Feb 11
Likes royalty because there is less business risk. However, it is not risk free. Probably a good buy on dips. The reflation trade is interesting. For the next 6-12 months, it is okay for a trade.
Focused on nat gas, unlike SU. Strong seasonality right now, which favours BIR, until mid-late June. A reasonable buy at this point.
Cenovus Energy (CVE-T) Feb 13
Long term bearish on energy. However in the next 2-3 years, there has been underinvestment and this has lead to prices squeeze higher. Bullish for a trade. Buy dips and sell into strength. $100 barrel would be the upper limit for consumer demand. Could see some more upside before price becomes a problem.
Tag Oil Ltd. (TAO-T) Feb 13
(A Top Pick April 23/13. Long Tag Oil (TAO-T) and Short Imperial Oil (IMO-T). Down 42.51%.) Did an equity issue last fall at about $4.40, which the Street didn’t like. This is a New Zealand oil/gas play and they have about 5 or 6 catalysts coming up in terms of major wells.
Encana Corp (ECA-T) Feb 14
Just beat earnings and have increased production. Cheap valuation compared to peers. But it's getting more expensive heading into 2021. There's no growth here, but that goes with the entire oil patch. The real issue is will they survive. Their balance sheet is getting better, but still high for a blue-chip name. You'll be saved…
Inter Pipeline (IPL-T) Feb 14
In the midst of a bidding war. More of a hold than a buy. Prospects for material upside are not very high. Better opportunities elsewhere. If you made profits, take some and invest in something like GEI or even TWM, if you have a higher risk tolerance.
Precision Drilling (PD-T) Feb 14
We are on a different cycle than in the past. The business model has shifted which is now positive for oil macro. Oil production growth is no longer elastic to rising oil prices. They are now taking free cashflow and companies are now buying back stocks. There is an opportunity for a rerate. Owned it…
Superior Plus Corp (SPB-T) Feb 14
(A Top Pick Dec 13/19, Up 10%) It hasn't stumbled during this pandemic. Incredibly consistent business, distributing propane across North America, such as Quebec. The stock had plunged from $12 to $6 during the pandemic, but they will get through this pandemic without lasting issues. (SPB was fine, but the market was irrational. SPB is…
TransCanada Corp (TRP-T) Feb 14
TRP vs. ENB vs. PPL Likes it. Trading below pre-Covid highs, as it's viewed as more defensive. Keystone XL announcement was initially negative, but a relief going forward. Not starved for growth. Lots of capex in development. Market will continue to rerate the stock. He prefers ENB, as its valuation is still at a modest…
Ceres Global Ag (CRP-T) Feb 12
(A Top Pick April 3/14. Down 12%.) A fully integrated agricultural company with a railroad to their elevators along with production of legumes and wheat. Thinks it should deliver quite nicely this summer because of what is going on in California. Feels drought is going to haunt us from a food inflation perspective.
This is a funny one. The book value is $4.80. They started a few more projects in China. It is not for him, but he can see why somebody would like it.
Waste Connections (WCN-T) Feb 13
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Of course, nobody knew that a once-in-a-century pandemic would trigger that recession, but WCN survived the pandemic to emerge with a 21.1% gain since my original pick. This figure excludes the dividend, which currently pays 0.67%, and it beats the TSX by 5%. Read Looking back after 100 weeks of Hot…
Bombardier Inc (B) (BBD.B-T) Feb 14
Worst is behind them. He wouldn't buy it. Doesn't like the roots of its governance. Peaked at $25 in 2000 and has declined since then. Has benefited Quebec, but if a company can't also generate value for shareholders, there's no reason to buy it. Private jet market is either hot or cold. Worries about the…
Toromont Industries (TIH-T) Feb 14
One of his favourite companies in Canada. Lower risk. Hold it for the long term. A first-class business. The CEO delivers beat after beat, sometimes by a wide margin. Lower risk. Yield is 1.30%. (Analysts’ price target is $112.67)
Telus Corp (T-T) Feb 14
All the carriers are offering 5G. He does not expect 5G will result in increased growth in any of the carriers. The biggest opportunity in 5G is a company that provides a 5G app, product or service that really takes advantage of 5G that everyone will want. He has not found such a company.
Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.
Happy trading !!!