PrairieSky Royalty (PSK-T)

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. A solid company for the sector. Balance sheet and cash flow looks good. Growth is positive and they managed the pandemic well. They cut dividends but it is now much higher than before. Their recent deal is good and is the right move for the company. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

This is a controversial name because it is a long term asset being valued on near term momentum and missed numbers last quarter. They don’t give projections on production numbers. They have no debt. It is a buy and hold kind of stock. (Analysts’ target: $32.07).

(A Top Pick Mar 20/17, Up 4%) His only energy stock. It is not a producer but is a royalty company. They missed on production guidance by 900 barrels and they lost 8-9% and it makes no sense to him. He likes it. It is a way to have oil exposure without capital risk. It is nice light oil. The balance sheet is impeccable.

Is the only Canadian oil stock he owns. [see CPG-Tcomment today.]

One of the oil patch casualties that has actually done okay. He likes royalty structures because you don’t have capital investment risks, and this one has no debt on the balance sheet. Oil price recovery gives them torque to the upside. During the horrific oil environment of 2015-2016, they proved their ability to generate good cash flow. Dividend yield of 2.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $34.75.)

He would Sell this in favour of more conventional producers. It’s an awesome company, but from a stock perspective, he is kind of challenged to be asked to pay 27X cash flow. Feels the stock is approaching fair value.

(A Top Pick Sept 2/15. Up 8.33%.) This is an easy one, because it is a royalty. There is no drilling involved. Essentially, all the cash flow can be paid out to shareholders. There is no debt involved in the story. However, the valuation is really stretched now.

A less volatile play than a regular producer, as they don’t have the same operating leverage. It is a royalty business, which means they don’t own trucks etc., but are still ultimately at the whim of commodity prices. A very long-term high-quality business where you look at the free cash flow you are getting today under certain scenarios. The key, over the long, long term, is the optionality. You benefit from things like improvements in technology. A great model. Good management.