Goldcorp Inc

G-T

(A Top Pick Oct 12/18, Up 2%) Acquired by Newmont. Return is up, either way.

He's never really owned Goldcorp, Newmont and Barrick. The share appreciation would come better from an Agnico Eagle or Kirkland Lake which have growing reserves, great management and low production costs. He stays away from companies like Goldcorp or Barrick or Newmont. In fact, Aginco has outperformed Goldcorp and will be self-sufficient by 2023. It pays a good dividend and they continue to grow overall.

Big relationship to US dollar, so dollar strength means gold weakness. Gold gets seasonally weak right now. May go sideways for a while. If it breaks the downtrend, it can accelerate pretty quickly. Second seasonality is in the summer, but could happen earlier. Timely to buy right now, and wait for the next shot up.

It is oversold as a consequence of being belittled by Barrick. It has a paucity of tier 1 assets. The trend of mergers of in the industry is going to be good for the company.

If Barrick buys Newmont and Goldcorp walks away with $630 million because the Newmont-Goldcorp deal (of last month) doesn't actually go through. Can GT shareholders kick the GT board out--the board who gets a hefty package, but not the shareholders? He can't comment on this though many are asking this question. About this deal, we haven't seen gold M&A deals for a while. From Barrick's point of view, this is an obvious plus. Many are surprised that this is the deal.

Today's merger with Newmont Mining Synergies will improve their margins. But he would sell--he doesn't like gold in general and this is a selling opportunity.

It could be 10% higher than today. He would prefer an equal weight gold ETF. G-T is probably a slight underperformer but he would buy gold stocks on a pull back.

They suffered badly. It is going to disappear as they are being acquired. You could hold it from here.

(A Top Pick Jan 23/18, Down 26%) Disappointed in the recent deal, because of a low premium. It was nearing the point of positive free cash flow.

The success of the 20/20/20 goals on cost reductions and production and cash flow growth will be the real test. They are trying to increase transparency of their strategy, now can they prove up on the execution? He would rather pay a little more for more consistency.

Sees nothing encouraging in the fundamentals here at all. Clawed its way back from its recent 18% drop. People are worried about gold prices not sustainable at the $1300 level. Wouldn't be a buyer. Lot of resistance above $14.

He likes it. Good balance sheet. Stands to enjoy good leverage off the price of gold.

ABX-T vs. G-T. G-T is more the defacto go-to name. ABX-T does not have the growth any more. He thinks G-T has better assets. The problem with G-T used to be excessive valuation but that is not the case now.

Challenging to see gold move higher, when the equities don't follow. If you're going to be in gold, you want one of the leadership names in terms of relative strength like Kirkland Lake, Agnico Eagle, and Barrick. Time to be in a laggard is when you see gold bullion on a bull run.

The chart isn't wonderful. Gold, the commodity, has been picking up. Gold itself looks like a reasonable short-term trade. The producers don't always follow the commodity, and Goldcorp is a good example. It has lower highs, and lower lows. It could be a short-term trade, but he wouldn't expect anything more.