New Gold Inc. (NGD-T)

Chart shows a bunch of lower highs. The group of sellers are accepting lower and lower prices and are willing to sell. The buyers are sticking to a certain price (about $3.75 or $4) and are not willing to step up. Sellers are getting more aggressive and buyers are not. If he owned, he would be selling.

The knock against this is the climbing costs of their Rainy River mine that they would like to get into production. He prefers companies that have very robust projects to start with. Things like this one were not robust to start with, even before they acquired it. He is not interested in this.

He sold his holdings. Likes their operating skills, but doesn’t like Rainy River. Doesn’t understand the geology in Rainy River enough to understand the $1 billion price tag on it.

Well sponsored and has good management, but they are having problems the same as every other gold company. This one should be fine based on his gold thesis.

If there was a tight group of 5 companies that he would find investable right now, this would be in the next level up. Their projects are good, but he never gets a feeling they are super fantastic.

A gold producer with production of about 400,000 ounces. The main catalyst is the building of a new mine, a Rainy River project in Northwestern Ontario. The problem is the funding of the project. The balance sheet has been stressed. Ran into some problems in Rainy River with some issues on the concrete that was poured, and have had to redesign it, costing $40 million-$50 million more than expected. That has investors worried about the balance sheet and how they are going to fund that extra capital. Because of that, he is not looking at this at the moment. If you see this gold bull market continue to move higher, and the US generalist’s get pulled more into the space, this name could really re-rate and perform.

(Market Call Minute.) Probably one of the best of the 2^nd tier producers. Highly leveraged to the gold price and well-run.

If gold recovers, which it should over time, especially if the US$ comes down a bit, there is lots of value in the gold market. The stocks are way off. Have had a little recovery, but not that much. If you think gold is flat or down, don’t be in a rush. He would be hesitant.

Very few companies that are building real projects, so it is now up to them to do it on time and on budget. Project is in BC and then they are coming back to Ontario. With the Cdn$ down, the market should support them. Because of the nature of building things and timing capital, there is always this sweet spot that you never quite know exactly where it is. 12 months before they actually start producing is probably the best time to buy.

Have access to high-quality deals, because of the quality of the board and management team. He is struggling to see the new leg of growth. Their Blackwater or Rainy River projects probably made more sense in a higher gold price environment. Rainy River probably has a better chance of eventually coming into a play that they can actually finance. Wouldn’t be surprised if there might be some acquisitions to fill the gap for 2016, and use some of that cost of capital they have, to make that acquisition.