TSE:BIR
2.90
0.04
(1.40%)
Analysis and Opinions about BIR-T
Signal
Opinion
Expert
SPECULATIVE BUY
SPECULATIVE BUY
Smaller Canadian energy stocks will benefit from gas demand when people travel in the summer. BIR is more focussed on natural gas, which will enjoy a rally following he Texas freeze recently. However, swings in energy prices in Canada will remain and making money will remain difficult. He prefers the safer CNQ, Suncor or Tourmaline. The smaller companies like this are riskier and you need to be nimble no price swings.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 9, 2021
Natural gas names are on fire during this deep winter freeze. BR is a higher beta and small cap name vs. peers, like Tourmaline (he owns). BIR will likely trade at 4x PE. He sees 64% upside and a $4.30 price targets, but wants 100% in oil stocks.
Natural gas names are on fire during this deep winter freeze. BR is a higher beta and small cap name vs. peers, like Tourmaline (he owns). BIR will likely trade at 4x PE. He sees 64% upside and a $4.30 price targets, but wants 100% in oil stocks.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 11, 2020
If we have a warm winter, it debases the bullish theme. We are seeing a warmer winter and gas has fallen from its peak. There are some companies in the gas space that would be buys, but this is a hard buy in the current moment, especially with the struggle for investor relevance. He would own companies with more oil exposure.
Show full opinionHide full opinionIf we have a warm winter, it debases the bullish theme. We are seeing a warmer winter and gas has fallen from its peak. There are some companies in the gas space that would be buys, but this is a hard buy in the current moment, especially with the struggle for investor relevance. He would own companies with more oil exposure.
HOLD
HOLD
November 20, 2020
A go to natural gas name. 19x free cashflow yield right now. Balance sheet and debt is fine. It has relevant obstacles and market cap is a challenge, but it is a hold. It depends on how cold the winter is. If it is a warm winter, get out.
Show full opinionHide full opinionA go to natural gas name. 19x free cashflow yield right now. Balance sheet and debt is fine. It has relevant obstacles and market cap is a challenge, but it is a hold. It depends on how cold the winter is. If it is a warm winter, get out.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
November 16, 2020
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The production loss was in line with estimates. The cut in production forecast probably disappointed some investors. Looking forward, cash flow is expected to increase on higher prices. A couple brokers upgraded the stock and consensus is for decent overall growth and strong net earnings in 2021. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The production loss was in line with estimates. The cut in production forecast probably disappointed some investors. Looking forward, cash flow is expected to increase on higher prices. A couple brokers upgraded the stock and consensus is for decent overall growth and strong net earnings in 2021. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
COMMENT
COMMENT
October 16, 2020
He is bullish on natural gas with less swamping of the market from the US. Global demand is improving for LNG. It is his small cap pick. They are aggregating free cash to pay all debt and then pay dividends.
He is bullish on natural gas with less swamping of the market from the US. Global demand is improving for LNG. It is his small cap pick. They are aggregating free cash to pay all debt and then pay dividends.
COMMENT
COMMENT
September 18, 2020
A good way to get exposure to natural gas. They may not benefit as much from the price of natural gas rising as others, but they have good free cashflow. He would allocate 4-5% of his portfolio to it.
Show full opinionHide full opinionA good way to get exposure to natural gas. They may not benefit as much from the price of natural gas rising as others, but they have good free cashflow. He would allocate 4-5% of his portfolio to it.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
June 23, 2020
Has a decent balance sheet with a good cash flow. They've lowered capex, but will spend in Q4 when oil prices should rise for the winter. Buy this under $1. His one-year target is $4. But this when WTI falls below $30 this year, as he predicts. (Analysts’ price target is $2.20)
Show full opinionHide full opinionHas a decent balance sheet with a good cash flow. They've lowered capex, but will spend in Q4 when oil prices should rise for the winter. Buy this under $1. His one-year target is $4. But this when WTI falls below $30 this year, as he predicts. (Analysts’ price target is $2.20)
HOLD
HOLD
May 20, 2020
Bought at $4, $2 and $1. They released last week and production in Q1 was solid. He likes the balance sheet. They cut the dividend by about 80%, as he thinks the banks may have asked them to do so. They are mainly into natural gas (78% of production) and he is bullish on natural gas pricing in the latter half of the year.
Show full opinionHide full opinionBought at $4, $2 and $1. They released last week and production in Q1 was solid. He likes the balance sheet. They cut the dividend by about 80%, as he thinks the banks may have asked them to do so. They are mainly into natural gas (78% of production) and he is bullish on natural gas pricing in the latter half of the year.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 20, 2020
Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult for companies to accept as it has provisions for up to 15% of ownership being made available in warrants to the government.
Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult for companies to accept as it has provisions for up to 15% of ownership being made available in warrants to the government.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2020
Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.
Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
March 24, 2020
Debt to cash flow is under 2x last year. Natural gas prices are holding well. It now pays a 17% dividend that their cash flow can sustain. He's been adding to his position. There's a huge disconnect between this stock price and its fundamentals. No reality, just fear. The balance sheet is fine and the stock is very cheap.
Show full opinionHide full opinionDebt to cash flow is under 2x last year. Natural gas prices are holding well. It now pays a 17% dividend that their cash flow can sustain. He's been adding to his position. There's a huge disconnect between this stock price and its fundamentals. No reality, just fear. The balance sheet is fine and the stock is very cheap.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
March 10, 2020
If oil recovers. He looks for price momentum, cash flow, balance sheet and low volatility. Oil stocks have none of these. He was net-short energy stocks yesterday. BIR has too much debt vs. their cash flow. He'd look at low-cost Suncor, which has a strong balance sheet, or CNQ (stronger balance sheet despite debt), or Parex which has net cash and a strong balance sheet.
If oil recovers. He looks for price momentum, cash flow, balance sheet and low volatility. Oil stocks have none of these. He was net-short energy stocks yesterday. BIR has too much debt vs. their cash flow. He'd look at low-cost Suncor, which has a strong balance sheet, or CNQ (stronger balance sheet despite debt), or Parex which has net cash and a strong balance sheet.
COMMENT
COMMENT
February 12, 2020
TOU is too high of a natural gas exposure for him. BIR is overspending their cash flow to fill a plant they invested in for the promise of free cash flow next year. If you believe the strip pricing next year, they will generate a 26% free cash flow yield. However, it is also natural gas related. He just thinks there are better buying opportunities from the over selling in the oil markets from the Corona virus.
TOU is too high of a natural gas exposure for him. BIR is overspending their cash flow to fill a plant they invested in for the promise of free cash flow next year. If you believe the strip pricing next year, they will generate a 26% free cash flow yield. However, it is also natural gas related. He just thinks there are better buying opportunities from the over selling in the oil markets from the Corona virus.
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
January 24, 2020
The company has disappointed the market that there will not be a surplus of free cash flow in 2020. However, he believes in 2021 they will be able to pay down debt aggressively and still have surplus to buy back shares and increase the dividend. By 2024 the free cash flow will be in excess of $760 million and he thinks they will use this to grow shareholder value. Yield 5.88% (Analysts’ price target is $4.23)
Show full opinionHide full opinionThe company has disappointed the market that there will not be a surplus of free cash flow in 2020. However, he believes in 2021 they will be able to pay down debt aggressively and still have surplus to buy back shares and increase the dividend. By 2024 the free cash flow will be in excess of $760 million and he thinks they will use this to grow shareholder value. Yield 5.88% (Analysts’ price target is $4.23)
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.(BIR-T) Rating
Ranking : 4 out of 5
Bullish - Buy Signals / Votes : 2
Neutral - Hold Signals / Votes : 2
Bearish - Sell Signals / Votes : 1
Total Signals / Votes : 5
Birchcliff Energy Ltd.(BIR-T) Frequently Asked Questions
What is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. stock symbol?
Birchcliff Energy Ltd. is a Canadian stock, trading under the symbol BIR-T on the Toronto Stock Exchange (BIR-CT). It is usually referred to as TSX:BIR or BIR-T
Is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. a buy or a sell?
In the last year, 5 stock analysts published opinions about BIR-T. 2 analysts recommended to BUY the stock. 1 analyst recommended to SELL the stock. The latest stock analyst recommendation is SPECULATIVE BUY. Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Birchcliff Energy Ltd..
Is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. a good investment or a top pick?
Birchcliff Energy Ltd. was recommended as a Top Pick by Bruce Murray on 2021-03-02. Read the latest stock experts ratings for Birchcliff Energy Ltd..
Why is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. stock dropping?
Earnings reports or recent company news can cause the stock price to drop. Read stock experts’ recommendations for help on deciding if you should buy, sell or hold the stock.
Is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. worth watching?
5 stock analysts on Stockchase covered Birchcliff Energy Ltd. In the last year. It is a trending stock that is worth watching.
What is Birchcliff Energy Ltd. stock price?
On 2021-04-19, Birchcliff Energy Ltd. (BIR-T) stock closed at a price of $2.9.
Smaller Canadian energy stocks will benefit from gas demand when people travel in the summer. BIR is more focussed on natural gas, which will enjoy a rally following he Texas freeze recently. However, swings in energy prices in Canada will remain and making money will remain difficult. He prefers the safer CNQ, Suncor or Tourmaline. The smaller companies like this are riskier and you need to be nimble no price swings.