Two Types of Behavioral Biases: Cognitive and Emotional
To simplify the classifications, a cognitive error can be defined as an information processing error (statistical and/or memory). It is often the result of faulty reasoning. Many times an investor will "think" they are using a rational process in their decision making but fail due to these errors. Conversely, emotional biases are much harder to correct because they stem from impulse and/or intuition. Often an investor needs to first recognize these issues, then find a way to minimize the effects.
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The U.S. struck a trade deal with Vietnam on Wednesday, which injected hope into markets and lifted them to new highs. The S&P added 29 points to 6,227 and the Nasdaq rose 190 points or 0.94% to 20,393, both record closes. Reopening from Canada Day, the TSX edged up five points to a new record of 26,862. In contrast, the Dow slid 10 points. The trade news overshadowed a surprise jobs report in the U.S. private sector which cut 33,000 jobs in June.
Key movers on Wall Street included Nvidia jumping 2.58%, Tesla 4.97%, Intel -4.25%, Apple 2.22% and Ford 3.7%. On Bay Street, Bombardier rocketed 21.37% after closing a major aircraft deal, Novagold 9.29%, Energy Fuels 8.51%, Cenovus 4.64% and BlackBerry -8.15%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin climbed 3.4% to US$109,565, gold increased by US$20 to US$3,358, and WTI surged 2.78% to US$67.25. The U.S. 10-year yield edged up to 4.287%.
💾 NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA-Q) +2.58%
🚗 Tesla Inc (TSLA-Q) +4.97%
💾 Intel (INTC-Q) -4.25%
🍎 Apple Inc (AAPL-Q) +2.22%
🚘 Ford Motor (F-N) +3.7%
🚂 Bombardier Inc (B) (BBD.B-T) +21.37%
🥇 NovaGold Resources Inc (NG-T) +9.29%
🛢Energy Fuels Inc. (EFR-T) +8.51%
🛢 Cenovus Energy (CVE-T) +4.64%
📱 BlackBerry (BB-T) -8.15%
🅱 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) (CRYPTO:BTC) +3.4%
In his experience, silver is a late mover in a precious metals bull market. Happens when the generalist investor is attracted by the momentum in gold and comes into the precious metals market, and leadership generally changes from gold to silver. He'd expect that to occur because we're in a very endurable precious metals bull market.
It might not happen for a year or two, but you won't need him to tell you when it's occurred. Silver is extremely volatile to the upside when its time comes.
52-Week High TSX Stocks Here’s this week’s 52-week high stocks on Stockchase… 🛢 Basic Materials 🚚 Industrials 🏛 Financials 💻 Technology 🛍 Consumer ⚡ Energy 52-Week Lows TSX Stocks Here’s this week’s 52-week lows stocks on Stockchase… 🛢 Basic… read more
Q3 began with a flat session in New York after the Dow rose 0.91%, but the S&P slipped 0.11% and the Nasdaq shed 0.82%. The U.S. 10-year yield stayed around 4.249% while Bitcoin hovered around US$106,200 and WTI remained at US$65.45. The Fed’s Jerome Powell revealed he would have cut the key interest rate by now if it wasn’t for Trump’s tariffs. The most influential names on Wall Street were Nvidia at -2.97%, Tesla -5.34%, Apple 1.29%, Warner Bros. Discovery -4.54%, Ford 4.11% and Palantir -4.14%. The TSX was, of course, closed for Canada Day and will reopen on Wednesday.
Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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Our PAST TOP PICK with LDOS is stagnating. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop to $139 at this time.
It makes it easy to buy cryptos, offering stablecoin. Is up 484% in one month, after it went public. Its current price is crazy, though. Two banks just listed price target at $80-83 (currently $181). The market is crazy about anything crypto. Once the lock-up on insider selling expires, the shorts will shoot back. One to watch.
The Benefits of Long Term Investing: Better historical performance & success rate
Historically, long-term investing in diversified portfolios (such as index funds) has provided average annual returns of eight to 10 per cent over decades. While day traders can theoretically achieve high returns, the vast majority (80 to 90 per cent) actually lose money due to lack of experience, overtrading, and emotional decision-making. Long-term investors, by comparison, have a much higher probability of building wealth steadily over time.
So, to sum up, you can spend eight hours a day glued to your screen, pay high trading costs, pay taxes, get stressed out, overtrade and have less money to compound, or, you can buy a high-quality stock and let its own growth compound over decades, while you head out to the beach. Doesn’t sound like much of a contest to us.
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The S&P fell 20% in the first half of this year and is back up 25%. Sentiment is improving along with more constructive trade talks, but things change every time Trump tweets. Be diversified. Tech remains a huge theme, seen in big ETF inflows. Also, investors are looking beyond the US and are using more covered calls. Last year was a record year for ETFs and this year is even better.
It’s been a turbulent first half to 2025, but it ended with record highs from the S&P, Nasdaq and especially the TSX. On Monday, the Canadian index rose 146 points to a new high of 26,838 as every sector but energy rallied. Healthcare, materials and telcos led the way.
Major movers: Lundin Gold 6.5%, Torex Gold 4.81%, CAE 3.74%, Energy Fuels 3.83% and NFI Group 3.03%. Gold advanced US$33 to US$3,307 while WTI slipped 0.84% to fall below US$65.
In New York, the S&P advanced 0.52%, the Nasdaq 0.47% and the Dow 0.63%. The U.S. 10-year yield edged up to 4.234% while Bitcoin increased US$260 to US$107,670. Key names included HPE jumping 11.08%, First Solar 8.81%, Apple 2.03%, Palantir 4.27% and Boeing -2.34% after the UK launched a probe to scrutinize Boeing’s Spirit deal. The TSX will be closed on Tuesday for Canada Day.
🥇 Lundin Gold Inc. (LUG-T) +6.5%
🥇 Torex Gold Resources (TXG-T) +4.81%
🚚 CAE Inc (CAE-T) +3.74%
🛢 Energy Fuels Inc. (EFR-T) +3.83%
🚚 New Flyer Industries Inc. (NFI-T) +3.03%
💾 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. (HPE-N) +11.08%
🧬 First Solar Inc. (FSLR-Q) +8.81%
🍎 Apple Inc (AAPL-Q) +2.03%
💾 Palantir Technologies (PLTR-Q) +4.27%
🛫 Boeing (BA-N) -2.34%
GDP
Last week, he talked about the cost of funding all the debt in the US. What we heard last week from President Trump is very disturbing; he said that any of the new debt needed to issue to pay for the "big, beautiful bill" should be 9 months and less. So he wants to finance all the new debt with bills. That's literally like printing money, which is inflationary.
Scott Bessent spoke this morning. He could have walked back what President Trump said, but did not. Looks like the Treasury is going to manipulate the way it's financing the debt, so that it can lower the cost of interest rates.
US total debt today sits at $36.2T; that's the debt ceiling, can't issue any more. That will change in July, and the debt's going to go up. The dot-com boom was the last time they had a surplus, and it's been deficit financing ever since. The GFC and Covid both added to the deficit, with the rate of overall debt going up. Now at the point where it's choking off natural economic growth.
So, what does the administration want to do? Manipulate the market, spend more money, get re-elected.
Historic US economic growth was 2.4%. Today, the number is 2.2% and they've racked up a lot of debt. And the cost of that debt is sucking away from future potential growth. The system's broken, and there's no political will to fix it. A few brave souls are standing up to speak out, but they'll be coerced into voting with the team.
Government bonds in your portfolio, that historically have been thought of as safe, are riskier now more than ever. The Fed will only lower rates when the economy starts to slip; remember that the debt:GDP ratio will increase, because deficits go up when an economy's weaker.
Here are the Canadian companies listed on Stockchase who are reporting earnings this week: 🛢 Basic Materials 🛍 Consumer 👨⚕️ Healthcare 🚚 Industrials Use this list wisely to identify buying opportunities.Happy trading !!! read more
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