Shopify Inc.
SHOP-T
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About Shopify Inc. (SHOP-T)
Shopify is both a Canadian e-commerce company headquartered in Ottawa, Ontario and the name of its computer software platform for online stores and retail point-of-sale systems.
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PARTIAL BUY
PARTIAL BUY
September 12, 2019
He got rid of his in one portfolio and has it in another. It has come back to a holding level. It is trying to turn up against the S&P. This would be a place to scale in, but it is very volatile. $431 is a stop level. Make sure it holds.
He got rid of his in one portfolio and has it in another. It has come back to a holding level. It is trying to turn up against the S&P. This would be a place to scale in, but it is very volatile. $431 is a stop level. Make sure it holds.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 12, 2019
Bit of a pullback. She is keenly aware of valuation of what she buys. Valuation is very high, and hard to calculate it on a stock like this. Too much momentum driven. Wouldn't be a buyer. PEG ratio of 13 is very high even for a growth stock.
Bit of a pullback. She is keenly aware of valuation of what she buys. Valuation is very high, and hard to calculate it on a stock like this. Too much momentum driven. Wouldn't be a buyer. PEG ratio of 13 is very high even for a growth stock.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
September 5, 2019
He totally missed it. Fantastic story, but no profits. He couldn't come up with a reasonable valuation. Bad things happen to companies that get the highest market cap but aren't banks, like Blackberry, Nortel, Valiant. He owns Amazon instead. He won't touch this one.
He totally missed it. Fantastic story, but no profits. He couldn't come up with a reasonable valuation. Bad things happen to companies that get the highest market cap but aren't banks, like Blackberry, Nortel, Valiant. He owns Amazon instead. He won't touch this one.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
August 28, 2019
He owned it last year and took profit around $400. Their marketcap is now in excess of Bell. If it goes under $450, he would look at it again. A global Canadian based company that has done incredibly well. It has a very high PE ratio (over 600!), so there is room to see the valuation change dramatically.
He owned it last year and took profit around $400. Their marketcap is now in excess of Bell. If it goes under $450, he would look at it again. A global Canadian based company that has done incredibly well. It has a very high PE ratio (over 600!), so there is room to see the valuation change dramatically.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 27, 2019
If a recession hit? Anything valued on a multiple of revenue will suffer in a market downturn. It's had a massive move, trading at 654x--the valuation makes little sense. It's a momentum name. In a recession this will come off hard. However, he wishes he had bought this at $100.
If a recession hit? Anything valued on a multiple of revenue will suffer in a market downturn. It's had a massive move, trading at 654x--the valuation makes little sense. It's a momentum name. In a recession this will come off hard. However, he wishes he had bought this at $100.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
August 26, 2019
Be careful here. He wouldn't touch it at these prices. No way. It's SO expensive. A great company. PE is around 700x. Only now are they turning profitable. Something like this can fall 50% if they miss earnings.
Be careful here. He wouldn't touch it at these prices. No way. It's SO expensive. A great company. PE is around 700x. Only now are they turning profitable. Something like this can fall 50% if they miss earnings.
BUY
BUY
August 19, 2019
His biggest holding and it's serving him well at a 200% gain. It's gone through some weird consolidating and wild prices. It's the best-performing stock now by many metrics. Though nerve-wracking, you can still buy it now. Yes, it can go down, like in June by 9%. But don't think it'll be the next Google. A buy signal, but you can also sell it now.
His biggest holding and it's serving him well at a 200% gain. It's gone through some weird consolidating and wild prices. It's the best-performing stock now by many metrics. Though nerve-wracking, you can still buy it now. Yes, it can go down, like in June by 9%. But don't think it'll be the next Google. A buy signal, but you can also sell it now.
Jeff Parent B. Eng. FCSI CIM
VP & Portfolio Manager, Chief Investment Officer, Castlemoore Inc.
$481.620
Yes
TOP PICK
TOP PICK
August 14, 2019
Q2 was so strong. New investments are paying off and exceeding their own expectations. They are capturing more the economics of e-commerce. He sees 100% EPS growth in 2018-2020 and 83% revenue growth. Yes, it's very pricey now at 289x PE, but they are reinvesting in their business. (Analysts’ price target is $463.68)
Q2 was so strong. New investments are paying off and exceeding their own expectations. They are capturing more the economics of e-commerce. He sees 100% EPS growth in 2018-2020 and 83% revenue growth. Yes, it's very pricey now at 289x PE, but they are reinvesting in their business. (Analysts’ price target is $463.68)
PARTIAL SELL
PARTIAL SELL
August 8, 2019
He'd be taking some money out at this point. Stock's trading way above FMV. Risks in market meltdown are getting high, and a stock like this will get crucified. At least get your costs out.
He'd be taking some money out at this point. Stock's trading way above FMV. Risks in market meltdown are getting high, and a stock like this will get crucified. At least get your costs out.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
July 29, 2019
A great company for the future. His model price is $30. You are buying in the opportunity to share in growth -- there is no fundamental reason to own this today however. You are paying top dollar for the future growth. He could see a 40% pull back and would consider it then.
A great company for the future. His model price is $30. You are buying in the opportunity to share in growth -- there is no fundamental reason to own this today however. You are paying top dollar for the future growth. He could see a 40% pull back and would consider it then.
BUY
BUY
July 18, 2019
Likes it. Showing momentum. Numerous drivers to sustain long term growth. Raised guidance on Q1. Bad news is it's trading at 260x 2021 earnings. Expect huge air pockets if they ever start missing. Is there anyone out there who can eat their lunch? Thinks it can double.
Likes it. Showing momentum. Numerous drivers to sustain long term growth. Raised guidance on Q1. Bad news is it's trading at 260x 2021 earnings. Expect huge air pockets if they ever start missing. Is there anyone out there who can eat their lunch? Thinks it can double.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
July 16, 2019
It's extremely up and that is worrisome-parabolic and overbought. Whenever a stock is 10% above its 200-day moving average then it could correct. If it pulls back 10-15% of its 200-day, then he'd look at it.
It's extremely up and that is worrisome-parabolic and overbought. Whenever a stock is 10% above its 200-day moving average then it could correct. If it pulls back 10-15% of its 200-day, then he'd look at it.
SHORT
SHORT
July 15, 2019
Too late to buy it? He is short this and it's calling him. It's a great company with an amazing 30x revenue. This is the next biggest-coming company--but they have to deliver on it. He's been dead wrong on this. However, low interest rates are chasing high-risk companies like this. This is way too expensive. He's seen this movie before.
Too late to buy it? He is short this and it's calling him. It's a great company with an amazing 30x revenue. This is the next biggest-coming company--but they have to deliver on it. He's been dead wrong on this. However, low interest rates are chasing high-risk companies like this. This is way too expensive. He's seen this movie before.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
July 12, 2019
It's gone up so much that it's natural to have a pullback now, down $10 today. He can't see a specific reason, likely profit-taking. It is expensive. He wouldn't buy it now. SHOP needs to pullback to $350 before he steps in.
It's gone up so much that it's natural to have a pullback now, down $10 today. He can't see a specific reason, likely profit-taking. It is expensive. He wouldn't buy it now. SHOP needs to pullback to $350 before he steps in.
COMMENT
COMMENT
July 12, 2019
A pullback? Would only pullback if the whole market does, and only to $350.
A pullback? Would only pullback if the whole market does, and only to $350.
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