Toromont Industries

A heavy equipment dealer. He is looking for a cyclical recovery next year. They are a distributor for Caterpillar and other heavy equipment. Really good operators. Yield 1.58% (Analysts’ price target is $69.50)

(A Top Pick Oct 04/17, Up 8%) They they do well during these times when the economy is strong and there's infrastructure building. They surprised last quarter with a dividend increase of 21%.

This is one of the biggest Caterpillar distributors in the world. Its market is mainly in Ontario. It trades the same way as Caterpillar. It does well as long as there is good activity in construction and mining, and is doing well now. He has no problem with owning it now, but cautions that it is a cyclical stock. When the market turns, it will fare worse than defensive stocks. But it is a good stock to own now.

It is a long for him and a larger holding for him. It has good price momentum and good valuation. They beat on the recent quarter. It has an okay yield with a lot of room to move it.

Model price is $92.83, a 21% upside. If we ever get that correction, he would love to buy it at $56 and hold for 3 - 6 years.

They make refrigeration for ice rinks and warehouses across North America. Acquired Atlantic and Quebec Caterpillar dealerships which boosts their pricing power. He will own this for a long time. (Analysts' price target $63.29)

This started as a refrigeration company, and now provide all the compression equipment in hockey rinks in North America. The Caterpillar dealership came along in Manitoba and Ontario with a little bit in Québec, and they just made a small acquisition in Atlantic Canada. This is what they really needed to get organic growth going, because if they can cut their costs, then they have higher margins moving forward. Recommends half positions for the Top Picks, which is what he does for new clients. Dividend yield of 1.3%. (Analysts’ price target is $58.25.)

(Market Call Minute.) Has owned this for a long time. A big infrastructure play that is in much better shape than some of the other construction companies.

This has been on a tear. An equipment maker that has done really well because it is focused on Manitoba and Ontario, very good places to be. He sees 8% earnings growth over the next couple of years. They have virtually no debt. It benefits from a soft Cdn$. They do a really good job of managing their costs. Everything is right for the stock, except its valuation which is trading at around 20X versus its 15.5X five-year average.

Doesn’t know a lot about this one, but they are in a universe he follows. Their cash ROE is 28%. He is looking for companies that have in excess of 20%, and have been able to do it 3 years running, so this meets his criteria. Their cash over PE ratio is about 2.5, a little richer than what he likes. He likes this.

It is a well run company. They are the local CAT dealer. He is short CAT-N, but would not want to be short TIH-T. It is one of the strong points in the CAT sales network.

Heavy equipment. The stock has done quite well. He is a little bit cautious on heavy equipment in general. He is focusing more on consumer, healthcare and technology.

*Short.* The only Caterpillar dealer in Ontario as well as having a small business in arenas. Have benefited for years from an increasing mining sector, and in Ontario it is primarily gold related, and gold miners are not doing that well. Also trading at a pretty hefty premium to the competition. A strengthening US$ means that new equipment coming into the market is going to get re-priced at an expensive US$, and then a lot of used equipment will start competing. Yield of 2.17%.