Under Armour (UA-N)

A great spec. They need a couple of good quarters. Nike is coming back with a vengeance.

The top brand that rich male kids don't wear. This trend has even increased.

(Past Top Pick, May 10, 2018, Up 20%) Volumes are rising, the stock is coming alive and there's plenty of room for this stock to regroup. Those who have owned this since it's drop of the past few years will hold on now that it's starting to climb again, so they can get their money back. He still likes it.

He would be tempted to buy if it had a move above $16.77. They have stumbled and earnings are projecting a model price of $9.39 – about 37% over-valued. It may take a while for the fundamentals to improve. Stay tuned. It is very cheap, but he needs to see a move higher before he gets excited. (Analysts’ price target is $20 )

(A Top Pick April 27, 2017, Down 19%) Sold his shares last spring. They had a terrible 2017, including a bad data breach in their app, massive unsold invenstory and failure to meet international growth target. He bought it when it was down and out, and that was a mistake.

Makes great gear, but you need to separate a stock from a product, a company or a management. This is down 53% in one year. They beat on the last quarter, but took down gross margin in the full-year guidance.

Has a Short position on this because it has much weaker price momentum. More importantly, they really don’t have the type of valuation metric that Nike (NKE-N) has. The balance sheet is fine and they beat on a recent quarter, but ROE’s are low and they really aren’t cash flowing.