Brian Acker, CA
Under Armour
UA-N
WATCH
Apr 25, 2018
He would be tempted to buy if it had a move above $16.77. They have stumbled and earnings are projecting a model price of $9.39 – about 37% over-valued. It may take a while for the fundamentals to improve. Stay tuned. It is very cheap, but he needs to see a move higher before he gets excited. (Analysts’ price target is $20 )
Their outlook was cut and downgraded today. This discretionary sector is coming under pressure. They have failed to re-establish the growth story where investors before paid a premium for shares 5-7 years ago. It's down 69% year to date. It's the ultimate trap.
Analysts were disappointed with recent earnings falling below expectations and the market has given the stock a haircut, but we think the worst is over. High inventory showed demand was not as aggressive as thought. A new CEO is leveraging their online digital expertise to expand sales going forward. Cash reserves are stable, while they buy back shares. It trades at 18x earnings and 2x book value. We recommend a stop-loss at $6, looking to achieve $11 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0%
He would be tempted to buy if it had a move above $16.77. They have stumbled and earnings are projecting a model price of $9.39 – about 37% over-valued. It may take a while for the fundamentals to improve. Stay tuned. It is very cheap, but he needs to see a move higher before he gets excited. (Analysts’ price target is $20 )