Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
Under Armour
UA-N
PAST TOP PICK
Apr 05, 2018
(A Top Pick April 27, 2017, Down 19%)Sold his shares last spring. They had a terrible 2017, including a bad data breach in their app, massive unsold invenstory and failure to meet international growth target. He bought it when it was down and out, and that was a mistake.
Their outlook was cut and downgraded today. This discretionary sector is coming under pressure. They have failed to re-establish the growth story where investors before paid a premium for shares 5-7 years ago. It's down 69% year to date. It's the ultimate trap.
Analysts were disappointed with recent earnings falling below expectations and the market has given the stock a haircut, but we think the worst is over. High inventory showed demand was not as aggressive as thought. A new CEO is leveraging their online digital expertise to expand sales going forward. Cash reserves are stable, while they buy back shares. It trades at 18x earnings and 2x book value. We recommend a stop-loss at $6, looking to achieve $11 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0%
(A Top Pick April 27, 2017, Down 19%) Sold his shares last spring. They had a terrible 2017, including a bad data breach in their app, massive unsold invenstory and failure to meet international growth target. He bought it when it was down and out, and that was a mistake.