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TSE:ZEB
This summary was created by AI, based on 10 opinions in the last 12 months.
The BMO Equal Weight Banks Index ETF (ZEB-T) has garnered mixed reviews from experts, underscoring the resilience and performance of Canadian banks amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. Many experts acknowledge the strong dividend yields and well-capitalized nature of these institutions, though caution is advised regarding potential economic slowdowns. While some suggest taking profits due to high valuations, others advocate for a long-term hold, indicating that dips may offer good buying opportunities. Experts emphasized that Canadian banks are set to benefit from positive trends in the resource sector and ongoing demand for financial services, despite higher credit provisions and loan demand constraints. Overall, while the sector remains a solid choice for income-oriented investors, the timing for new investments appears uncertain.
ETF versus buying bank stocks. Canada banks as a whole should continue to perform well. Regulatory testing on mortgages will be a headwind. Bank stocks generally trade at two times book value (which is relatively cheap) and the return on equity is better than the US. When interest rates rise they earn more. He thinks Royal (RY-T) and TD (TD-T) are best in class assets.
This is a seasonal period for the banks. In the past, when there has been a run-up and outperformance in the market in the summer, it has actually peaked in December. If you see a strong bounce and outperformance in Sept/Oct and Nov, earnings have to be really good. Investors want to be there for Q4 earnings, because that is where most stock splits and dividend increases occur. If there is a little bit of weakness, even on good earnings, that might be a time to lighten up.
Buy more of this ETF or buy the banks themselves? If you want some diversity and you’re not investing a huge amount of money, then the ETF is a great way to play the banks. There is a little management cost on this, so that will lower the dividend a little. However, all in all, you are getting diversification and more exposure.
This ETF or individual banks?Seasonal patterns tell us that we are likely going to have strong markets in the last few months of the year. This ETF allows you to purchase a basket of the 6 Canadian banks, which gives you an equal weight in one shot. You are paying 62 basis points, but it does give you a diversified mix. You might want to consider the BMO Equal Weight US Banks (ZBK-T), which he likes for its leverage. Interest rates are moving higher and faster in the US, in an economy that is a little more on solid footing going forward. Canadian banks are fairly valued at this point but there is still runway for growth.
Very bullish on Canadian banks in general. Believes you can pick and choose rather than owning an ETF. He likes Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) for its international exposure which gives it greater growth potential. National Bank (NA-T) for its lower multiple. Toronto Dominion (TD-T) for its big US retail exposure.
Historically, banks have had 2 periods of seasonal strength. One of them is right around now through until the end of November. Bank CEOs love to give you good news as you get into the 4th quarter, when they release their results. Technically, it looks like we have started into seasonal strength right now.