TSE:X

TMX Group (X.TO)

50.25
-0.43 (0.85%)
as of Jul 16, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
83 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 16, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 22 opinions in the last 12 months.

TMX Group, the operator of the TSX and other trading platforms, has seen a pullback in its stock price due to market fears surrounding competition from prediction markets and a drop in commodity prices. Despite recent selling pressure, many analysts highlight the long-term potential of TMX due to its unique positioning in the financial industry, strong recurring revenue from data analytics, and a solid history of dividend growth. Management has been actively diversifying its revenue streams, and acquisitions such as Cboe and VettaFi are expected to drive future growth. The stock currently trades at a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings, making it an intriguing option for value-oriented investors looking for exposure to the Canadian capital markets.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Undervalued
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CME
DON'T BUY
Banks have deep pockets and want to get a share of the trading that TSX has. TSX may have to cut there fees by 20%, which doesn't translate into higher profits. Is interest rate sensitive as far as if the market softens that effects their volumes.
SELL
They have bought in the past, and recently sold. The alternate trading system being put together by the banks took the shine out of it's perceived value. Would get back in once the impact of the alternate trading system is seen.
RISKY
Fair market value currently is $87-$88 so there is a lot of upside. It's currently at 10 times book value, so it's not cheap. This is a speculation. He likes to buy at book or twice book.
DON'T BUY
Banks may be going to get involved in alternative markets, which is a competitive threat to them. All the regulatory commissions are driving newer companies to international markets.
DON'T BUY
Facing some challenges with Canada's 6 largest banks intending to directly compete with them. There’re also some other alternative trading platforms out there that will start eating in to their market share. Not cheap.
DON'T BUY
They have 2 problems. All their big companies are being taken over and they make their money off of trading. Secondly, the big banks are talking about setting up a rival exchange.
DON'T BUY
Has dropped a fair bit since its high. Got hurt recently when there was talk about the banks pushing for their own equity market. Technology will allow them to do that. It won't trump the TSX, but will take business away and will hurt their margins. Great cash flow business.
DON'T BUY
Long-term trend line has been broken. When a group is getting tired, there is a tendency for a lot of new investment products to come out. If you own, lighten up.
BUY
A consortium of Canadian banks has announced that they are considering putting in a competing product in the next year or two. This would cut into their pricing. This will probably blow over and at this price, it’s not a bad entry point.
COMMENT
$50 is at risk of moving below 200 day moving average and the momentum on the MACD is out of the stock. Be cautious.
SELL
Announcement that the banks were considering setting up an alternative system gave them a scare. It would take away a lot of volume. Have held a monopoly position. Consider taking some profits on part of your holdings.
SELL
Stock missed earnings, when a stock misses earnings, it will tend to do it multiple times.
DON'T BUY
Last year they lowered their fees because they knew they would be getting competition from the banks. Pretty much fully valued now, so can't see where the growth will happen.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Thinks there's a catalyst coming on this exchange. Feels they will get together with the Montreal exchange over the next couple of years. Buying on a bad day would probably be a good idea.
BUY
Likes the concept of an integration of world exchanges. As the world expands economically, this one cannot go it alone and will have to team up with one or more players. 3% yield.
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