Opinions
Brian Acker, CA
Westjet Airlines
WJA-T
PARTIAL BUY
Jul 17, 2018
$18.130
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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DON'T BUY
Considering the Boeing 737 crash. They came out with good numbers and guidance in the last quarter after a few bad quarters. Their suspension of the 737s is not a huge thing, but rather a nuance. He doesn't like airline stocks and prefers Air Canada that he just sold. This is not a bad entry point. Be careful: have a buy and sell price.
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PARTIAL SELL
There is some market risk in the overall market. It is an all cash deal. You will get $31 for it. There is a 4% difference between market and the deal. If you can do better than 4% somewhere else with a similar degree of risk, then you should sell. He would take some money off the table.
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COMMENT
A really interest deal with Onex. He has been a long term fan for years. His first professional 10 bagger. He is not convinced Onex over paid -- they probably saw this as a great time -- comparable to US peers. He thinks the regulators will approve the deal.
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The stock has been going down. It is approaching a critical level according to Model Price theory: EBB-1 level is $17.80. His Model Price is $26.64, which is almost a 50% upside. However, if the stock drops below EBB-1, it could drop to EBB-2, which is $15. He would take a half-position at this level, but if it goes lower, he would sell and buy closer to $14.82. The market is concerned about recent news, such as the unionizing of its staff. However, a positive catalyst in the news could boost the stock an easy 25%. Making money on this stock might require trading around the levels rather than buying and holding.