
TSE:WFG
This summary was created by AI, based on 7 opinions in the last 12 months.
The outlook for West Fraser Timber (WFG-T) presents a mixed picture according to several experts. While some analysts see potential for a breakout if the stock surpasses $100, others highlight the struggles stemming from past tariffs and weak demand for lumber, contributing to volatility in performance. Notably, the current market cycle suggests we might be at a turning point, with expectations of economic strengthening and stabilizing interest rates, which could bode well for lumber stocks overall. However, the immediate business outlook remains challenging, prompting suggestions for cautious investment and tax-loss selling considerations. Despite the difficulties, there is some optimism fueled by 'smart money' interest in lumber investments.
This is one of the most seasonal trades. It bottoms around the middle of October and usually peaks around this time of year. During the last 2 weeks, the stock is starting to show some signs of underperformance, relative to the Toronto market. It is also below its 20 day moving average. Historically, the seasonal trade ends April 15 so if you own, now would be the time to take profits.
Had a great year but doesn’t think this is a great entry point. He has been in the stock for about 6 months and has a small remnant remaining. Neutral on the stock. Often, in January, the winners from the prior year have a little hiccup. If there was a 10%-15% pullback he would get interested again.
Lumber stocks tend to do very well at this time of year. This is also the time of the year when the housing industry does extremely well. It will be interesting to see if it can get through $63. If you don’t own, wait for it to go through $62.60 and if it does that on good volume, that would be a Buy.
These are great companies to own. Lumber is benefiting from a recovering housing industry and there is also a shortage of lumber because it is getting shipped to China and then there is the Pine Beetle that will affects lumber for a couple of years. Not overvalued.