Whitecap ResourcesWCP.TOCOMMENTAug 09, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 24, 2026. Market Open.
The caller wondered about taking profits in this company. You could take a pause for a gas related stock but WCP is still very strong with a lot of production over a diverse number of regions. He would sell half and take profits, but keep half. He thinks that oil stays at $100 per barrel for the rest of the year.
Would name it top pick again. Based on $70 WTI, WCP has 20% upside to $22.50; at $80, it's $26. He wouldn't be surprised if WCP was bought out. WCP has a super inventory in the Montney and Duvernay and at least 17 years of stay-flat inventory. The CEO always buys shares on weakness, strong balance sheet and pays a dividend of 4%. Modest growth.
It is a mid-cap oil stock and their largest holding. It is one of the most misunderstood companies and is cheap without reason. Management has done an awesome job in its operations and it has beaten expectations in many quarters. It has well over 2 decades of very high quality inventory. US companies are eyeing Canadian companies Whitecap has 5.3 times cash flow and he sees a 40 % upside. Pays a dividend.
27% gas, the rest is oil. Now the 5th largest oil producer in Canada. Market cap of $20B. Extremely well run. Lots of contiguous land, long reserve life. Probably one of the strongest takeout candidates. Trades ~5x cashflow, with considerable upside.
With ARX being taken out, more institutions will be interested. Yield is 4.6%.
The oil floor has risen since the US-Iran war, but alot of supply will come in soon. The oil price will test $70. Sanctions lifted, Iran can sell at market prices. Canadian producers are well-positioned. The CAD is at 70 cents, which means C$90 a barrel (based on US$70 barrels). He likes WCP; they've consolidated into a sizable-enough player.
All-time high today. Meaningfully mispriced. Top assets in Montney and Duvernay. Sell your ARX right now and buy this. Continues to beat quarter after quarter after quarter. CEO has the most aggressive insider buying of any company he follows in Canada.
Potential takeover (but, he really hopes, not anytime soon). Yield is 4.48%.
White Cap Resources (WCP-T) or Freehold Royalties (FRU-T)? When thinking between 2 light oil producers like this, there is really a big business model difference. This one is an operator. It owns lands and produces wells and does everything itself. Freehold is a royalty company, where other players produce on their land and they get a fee for that. Freehold is a little less risky, but this has a little more upside if oil prices go up.