
TSE:TV
This is a classic potential value trap. It looks very cheap on a short-term basis but the assets that it has are not low-cost assets. However, of the base metals, he is most bullish on zinc. This is a good way for someone to take a levered position on zinc, but he thinks base metal fundamentals are challenged now. The trend for base metals seems to be downward, and there was a huge stocking up of inventories of base metals back in the spring, especially on the Shanghai exchange, and that still has to be unwound. He was generally short base materials in the Spring but is neutral now. He is still short the renewable energy materials, lithium and graphite, because he thinks the market is expecting the infrastructure that will use these to be built out faster than it will actually be built.
They executed their base plan well. The drop in the stock price is probably unrelated to what they are doing. It is more the macro situation pushing the stock down including trade wars. Zinc is one of the earlier metals to move. Now perhaps people moved to other metals. If you have a favorable view of zinc you should buy the stock. (Analysts’ price target is $1.90)
They bought two mines from Glencore last year making them the largest small-cap producer of zinc in the country. It is cheap and he does not understand why there is not more interest. The mines are producing as expected and the balance sheet is good. Since Glencore still owns 20% of the company, it may be potentially block an acquisition. (Analysts’ price target is $2.00 )