Peter HodsonTrevali Mining CorpTV.TOWEAK BUYMay 02, 2018
They bought two mines from Glencore last year making them the largest small-cap producer of zinc in the country. It is cheap and he does not understand why there is not more interest. The mines are producing as expected and the balance sheet is good. Since Glencore still owns 20% of the company, it may be potentially block an acquisition. (Analysts’ price target is $2.00 )
The biggest independent zinc producer has had its ups and downs. The new CEO has to navigate 2020, which was tough. Zinc prices have jumped to US$1.25/lb. TV's cost structure is based on $1.10-1.15. TV trades at a deep discount. Zinc doesn't capture the imagination like copper or nickel, though. Zinc prices have benefited from the rebounded in car production and other industrial activity. He has owned this in the past. A good company for pure zinc exposure.
A company who specializes in zinc mining. Earnings estimates for 2020 expect losses and break even in 2021. You might be better off taking a tax loss and look for better opportunities.
They missed 7 out of 8 quarters. Their balance sheet is good and cash flow is good. Their debt is not too high. It might have been a takeover target except for the Glen Core piece.
His single most disappointing holding as a zinc miner. They have great assets -- they are the largest non-senior zinc producer. This is a wait and see turnaround opportunity, so he would look for something else.
It has really been crushed since the big financing on the stock. Now is probably the time to buy it. They had a lot of operational problems in their mine, but they have turned over the management team yet the stock continues to go down. He started to buy at $0.45. He would hold on. Don't sell.
Gold is out of favour. Penny stocks don't respond well to tech analysis. If you believe in the story, it's 30 cents a share, go ahead and do it. Wait and see, if gold were to pop, the small ones would go as well. But he doesn't see any short-term upside.
He would prefer HBM-T. The trend is not your friend with TV-T. The danger is that it can be left for dead and continue to get cheaper without anyone stepping in. HBM-T follows the trend in copper and is trading at under book value.
This is one of the few publicly traded zinc miners. Zinc has not done well this year. Sales have been down 54% and earnings were down 34%. It trades about 6 times earnings. It looks cheap and has great cash flow. Earnings estimates are being cut, which will keep him away for now. He will watch zinc prices for improvements.
A pure play in zinc, which is why it's suffering. Zinc prices are low. See if TV is generating free cash flow--or else they have to go to market. Cash flow is more important than earnings. Can they sustain their balance sheet? They've changed CEOs so there's some uncertain around it.
Oversold. He is a little nervous about the economy. This is a good size zinc producer. The optionality offered is not sufficient for him. He would like a lower cost producer. Well ran.
They bought two mines from Glencore last year making them the largest small-cap producer of zinc in the country. It is cheap and he does not understand why there is not more interest. The mines are producing as expected and the balance sheet is good. Since Glencore still owns 20% of the company, it may be potentially block an acquisition. (Analysts’ price target is $2.00 )