ToyotaTMDON'T BUYApr 30, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
Tariff ambiguity is going to be there for the foreseeable future. Tariffs will bring more assembly infrastructure into the US. Decent industrial company. Automakers as a whole are not attractive businesses, but this name is arguably the best of the bunch.
Subaru is actually far cheaper, and tapped into the Toyota supply chain. (Toyota owns 10% of Subaru.)
Didn't rush to build EVs the way others did, and this will help in the long run. In general, EVs are not selling well, inventories are building up, and infrastructure isn't yet there. Hybrid option has the most mileage longevity, and Toyota seems to be going that route, which is the most prudent approach. Great cars, huge company. Safe for a 3-5 year hold.
Depends on your risk tolerance. He's been looking at GM recently, but hasn't taken any action. Really good recent quarter, will be pressure on financing side of the business. Targets are pretty optimistic. TM is a safer bet for the next year or so; it's a giant company with improving profits, uncertainty on EV strategy is not a short-term game-changer. TSLA is his favourite EV play in the auto-making space. TSLA has already won the EV race, especially as to vertical integration.
Your views on Toyota (TM-N) and Honda (HMC-N) with consideration of currency risk? Japanese automakers have done a good job of managing currency risks by moving production to where their customers are, so currency risk is less of an issue. The whole auto sector is hurting with Europe being down. This is an economic sector which is global. US automakers have gained back a lot of ground. This is neither expensive nor cheap. Fairly valued.