Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO)

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WATCH

Classic Canadian oil stock and has a classic seasonality as well. Canadian energy stocks do very well from December to May. Seasonal strength is just getting started again. Any kind of weakness is a classic buying opportunity. Wait for all the technicals to start bottoming. Right now, momentum indicators and moving averages are quite negative.

WAIT

Their problem is they are going through a management change. Feels new management is good but there is always a period of testing. Have been some disappointments in the production profile.

COMMENT

(Market Call Minute.) Buy it at the bottom of its trading range and when it gets to the top look for a Sell. Nice trading Stock.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 29/07. Down 5.6%.) Was affected by having a lot more international operations than some of the others. Have some very good prospects. Could be cash flowing between $4.50 and $5 over the next couple of years. Still likes.

DON'T BUY

The big issue with this company right now is that they've had a change in leadership. Everyone was optimistic but they haven't articulated what they are going to do. Dead money until they can make a statement as to where they are going. Have also had production delays in the North Sea operations. It's cheap on every metric.

TOP PICK

Old management was over promising and under delivering. Thinks new management will do the opposite.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 6/07. Flat.) In interesting parts of the world. Still likes.

BUY

Statistically cheap. Has all the right attributes, but probably needs a little more seasoning. As time goes by, he thinks the multiple will creep up and it does get into the $20's.

WAIT

With the new management, he is waiting for them to talk about their outlook. Have some very good assets, especially their Asian ones.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.) Thinks this company could disappear into BP in the next year and a half.

DON'T BUY

Has a little more downside in it before he can see a bottom.

BUY

Likes this story longer term. Being hit now by weak natural gas prices and a cutback in spending. Worth between $24 and $28 depending on natural gas prices. Likes their international platform. If we get consistent $9-$10 gas prices, this could be a takeover.

HOLD

Very frustrating price. Had a bounce in the summer and came right back off and again. He still likes the stock but you will have to be patient.

BUY

Has been disappointing. Expects new CEO to be more forthcoming. It has become a “show me” stock. Not a bad entry point for value buyers.

DON'T BUY

Have a new CEO so you have to wait to see how he does. The other thing is their international exposure. He feels the oil will continue to do well.

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Talisman Mining Ltd (TLM.TO)