
TSE:STB
3rd largest bus transportation company in North America. The key driver for growth is fleet buses, the number of buses they are operating, which is currently 13,000. However, revenues are shrinking at about two thirds of what they used to be. The other issue is the greater CapX required. In 2014, this was $28 million, and for 2016 it will be $60 million. Historically they have paid a very, very robust dividend, currently 10.7% through serial issuance of debt and equity. Effectively you are buying a high-yield bond.
A student’s school bus company. A very, very stable business. Fuel costs are a little bit of a help to them. They have long-term contracts with municipalities. Payout ratio has gone from 92% in 2014 and will be around 68% this year and probably under 50% next year. It had a couple of rough months because about 6 weeks ago a Short seller in the US started talking about a dividend cut. They have paid a dividend for 10 years without missing it once in 10 years, and he thinks it is secure.
Listed on both the TSX and NY exchanges. You want to focus on the Canadian side because if we do have a bit of a bottom on the Cdn$ you will get crushed on the currency translation. He can’t say too much positive about this stock. Has significant moving averages which are pointing lower. There are lower highs and lower lows, so it is not the ideal place to be. Yield of 8.8%.
3rd largest provider of student bus services in the US. They are about to pay most of their dividends in US$’s. Even though they met estimates on EBITDA, their margins were impacted which is why it got hit. A good free cash flow business with a good yield of about 7%. They benefited from low fuel costs, and there is a feeling they are going to get some contract wins coming up in the next couple of quarters. He would want to see their EBITDA and margins stabilize before he would get excited about it.
Just announced they got a big contract in Colorado. Issued equity to pay down their convertible debenture, so they want to get their debt down. Stock has gone sideways, which it is supposed to do, because it is a very steady business. Valuations are not extreme. One the things that helps them is that fuel costs have dropped substantially. Yield of around 6%-7%. Looks interesting.
Not a fan of this. Ranks reasonably well. Has such a large P/E ratio that he has been scared off. Book Value has been written down to practically nothing. Analysts have been cutting back on their estimates too, so be careful.