SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPYWAITMay 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.
Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?
He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.
Short by using HBP S&P 500 VIX ST Future Bull+ (HVU-T)? Part of what we have seen in this move has been a bit of a Short squeeze that is going on. The Fed is going to be talking on June 15-16, so there is going to be a bit of a bid until after that. You could start to take some Short positions but he wouldn’t go totally short. There is a bit of overhead resistance. Wait until we get closer to the June meeting.