Stockchase Opinions

The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy KawasakiSPDR S&P 500 ETFSPYTOP PICKJul 10, 2025

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is a well-established exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The ETF holds a wide array of stocks, providing broad exposure to the U.S. large-cap equity market. Established by State Street Global Advisors, SPY is a popular investment vehicle among individual and institutional investors due to its diversification, liquidity, and historical performance. Social media mentions are up 4% in the past 24h.

$626.32

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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HOLD
Add, or just hold?

Very popular, though may have been surpassed by Vanguard in terms of market cap. Low cost. Likes these ETFs. Very much a hold, enjoy the ride. In 5-10 years, you'll be in good shape.

DON'T BUY

Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.

Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?

BUY

SPY is the oldest and the biggest. Buy more, hold forever. Starting to be overtaken by VOO, perhaps because of the slight difference in MER cost. Worthwhile contacting the ETF company itself for a tax opinion on which account is best to hold it in.

BUY

He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.

BUY

He just bought May 500 puts. In the two days since the Fed meeting, the USD has strengthened against many currencies (Euro, Yen, UK pound, Chinese yuan). Ripples in the currency market will lead to a slight pullback in the S&P.

BUY
SPY vs. QQQ

SPY is more diversified than QQQ, which is mainly technology, biotech, and some consumer names. SPY is 26% technology, 8% communications. Tech sector has gotten ahead of itself again, and the valuations are not that attractive.

BUY

It's been beaten down, but healthcare will do well.

COMMENT
put buying SPY put buys: 30,000 of the July 377 puts, and 100,000 of the June 345 puts, and 18,000 of the July 22 expiring 385 puts. This action may not be over just yet, because there's still a lot of buying.
DON'T BUY
She is handpicking stocks in this bear market. Choose individual stocks. It's hard work--read the reports and listen to the calls, but it pays off. Don't buy the SPY, but would own the stocks in that ETF.
DON'T BUY
Not his favourite place to be. The Canadian market is better on a seasonal basis. Be careful of timing and wait for corrections.
BUY
Today's session (a knee jerk bounce after Biden announced oil sanctions against Russia) signalled to her that if we get even a whiff of good news, that we'll see a giant rally. We're hungry for any kind of good news (out of Russia/Ukraine). She bought some SPY calls at the day's end.... If peace were announced tomorrow, she could see crude oil sliding by at least $25/barrel.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Likes the US, has a lot of quality. At this stage, slightly overbought at 65 RSI. Wait for some more volatility. Long-term, it's a great way to access the 500 largest cap names in the US.
COMMENT
Having a tilt towards tech has worked well. While we get into low inflation, these will do well. There are signs that underlying the surface of index returns, the market may not be as healthy as it might appear. A narrow group of stocks are driving the returns.