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Stephen Weiss, Founder, Short Hills Capital Partners SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY-N BUY Mar 31, 2023

It's been beaten down, but healthcare will do well.

$406.750

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY
Not his favourite place to be. The Canadian market is better on a seasonal basis. Be careful of timing and wait for corrections.
DON'T BUY
She is handpicking stocks in this bear market. Choose individual stocks. It's hard work--read the reports and listen to the calls, but it pays off. Don't buy the SPY, but would own the stocks in that ETF.
COMMENT
put buying SPY put buys: 30,000 of the July 377 puts, and 100,000 of the June 345 puts, and 18,000 of the July 22 expiring 385 puts. This action may not be over just yet, because there's still a lot of buying.
BUY
SPY vs. QQQ

SPY is more diversified than QQQ, which is mainly technology, biotech, and some consumer names. SPY is 26% technology, 8% communications. Tech sector has gotten ahead of itself again, and the valuations are not that attractive.

BUY

He just bought May 500 puts. In the two days since the Fed meeting, the USD has strengthened against many currencies (Euro, Yen, UK pound, Chinese yuan). Ripples in the currency market will lead to a slight pullback in the S&P.

BUY

He did a put spread on May 2, the 500-520 end of July put spread. He wasn't concerned about NVDA or tech, but to the market's reaction broadly to Nividia's earnings. Rally broadening in the S&P had not happened. You're limiting your downside with a spread. He bought back the 500 put, which leads him long only the 599 outs.

BUY

SPY is the oldest and the biggest. Buy more, hold forever. Starting to be overtaken by VOO, perhaps because of the slight difference in MER cost. Worthwhile contacting the ETF company itself for a tax opinion on which account is best to hold it in.

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TOP PICK

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is a well-established exchange-traded fund that seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index. The ETF holds a wide array of stocks, providing broad exposure to the U.S. large-cap equity market. Established by State Street Global Advisors, SPY is a popular investment vehicle among individual and institutional investors due to its diversification, liquidity, and historical performance. Social media mentions are up 4% in the past 24h.

DON'T BUY

Major concern about this one is that it's really a technology ETF, given that 8 or 9 of the top 10 names are tech names. 40% of the S&P 500 is tech or tech-oriented, and we've never before seen this concentration. That's quite a bit of risk with so much exposure to one sector. Index is not as safe as it was 10 years ago.

Technology in this new world is exciting, but it's not cheap. Though earnings growth is very strong, how far will we let PE's go before we say they're too expensive?