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Sherritt International Corp.S.TOCOMMENTJul 31, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 19, 2026. Market Open.
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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His view is that this will survive. The balance sheet has been fixed. If nickel prices stay below $5 for more than 2.5-3 years, they may have some issues. Nickel prices have been very low for a long time, but this company is at the 50th percentile in terms of costs. Half of the world can’t produce nickel at current prices and make cash money. The thinks it is a pretty reasonable bet that nickel will be in deficit in 2016.