Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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A leverage play on nickel prices. Lowered the amount of production coming out of the Madagascar mine, and pushed out and lengthened the life of the mine. Also, the ban on iron ore in Indonesia affected the price. There will be a lot of torque to the upside when nickel prices get back on firm ground. Believes there are better names and better sectors to be.