Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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Normally you would think that a change in the nickel price would have impact on the stock. Nickel has very strong seasonality from around this time of year through until May of each year. However, the stock is not following that pattern. Chart shows the trend is still on the downside and, as yet, still hasn’t shown signs of bottoming. Significantly below its 20 day moving average.