NYSE:RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)

306.30
-11.23 (3.54%)
as of Jul 1, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 1, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL-N) has emerged strongly in the post-COVID landscape, capitalizing on the enduring appeal of cruises as an affordable travel option. However, recent trends indicate that the company's shares have experienced a 13% decline over the past week, raising concerns about the adequacy of its reservation book as consumer spending slows. The company faces a double-edged sword with its backlog of bookings; while an aging population may benefit the cruising industry, the limited supply of available ships has led to higher prices and sold-out rooms in advance. Experts are cautious about the future, suggesting that the current momentum might be challenged if the demand does not sustain or if macroeconomic factors lead to decreased consumer spending. Overall, the company's performance is promising, but the immediate outlook requires careful monitoring.

consensus icon
Consensus
Cautious
valuation icon
Valuation
Fair Value
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NCLH
BUY

(Market Call Minute.) This is hanging in really well. They just put up some strong numbers. Yield and revenues have been quite good. Chart seems reasonably supportive from this point on.

WAIT

This has been a well-managed company for some time. What you are buying into is a very high beta of 1.45, meaning it is 45% riskier than the market. He would avoid the stock because there is too much volatility. Also, one of their major inputs is fuel, and feels the price of oil is not done going up. There will be a better chance to get this in the near future.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 27/15. Down 3.1%.) Took some profits at around $100 and moved his stop loss to $74 and got stopped out. Still likes the name. They have an oligopoly with Carnival and have committed to not building a lot of ships, so the supply is quite low. Demographics are still moving towards that type of occasion. Have a lot of growth opportunity in China.

SELL

They had a negative transit this week. They reported earnings. It is a sell signal for him.

TOP PICK

Fundamentally sound and getting better in a sector that is getting better. The consumer sector is his favourite sector. Leisure and travel is one of the first places people spend money in an improving economy. As fuel prices come down fuel costs are mitigated. Lots of free cash flow, 10% return on the capital. Seasonally a great time for the industry. The consumer travel economy in China is improving.

COMMENT

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL-N) or Carnival Corp (CCL-N)? This one has outperformed Carnival in the last 12 months. It is up about 50%, where Carnival is up about 30%. On a valuation perspective, this trades at .85 PEG ratio while Carnival is over 1.1. Also, this one is cheaper. Both should do well.

TOP PICK

Second largest cruise ship company. Well positioned to benefit from the recovering global economy, lower fuel costs and positive long-term demographic trends. There are some modest industry capacity increases that are happening as not a lot of ships are being built. They are also making headway into Asia by trying to take advantage of the growth there. Trading pretty decently at 16X forward earnings and a 20% growth rate. Attractively valued. Dividend yield of 1.57%.

BUY

Entertainment stock, seasonally doing well from December through early winter. A nice move and it is still in an upward trend, above the 20 day moving average and outperforming the market.

DON'T BUY
Global travel is one of the first things that is going to go as consumers tighten their belts. High fixed cost business.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 17/10. Up 22.5%.) Got stopped out in March in the low $40s. Not a bad value is in currently at 11X forward earnings.
TOP PICK
2nd largest cruise line globally. 38 ships with 84,000 passengers and are building 4 more ships for 2012 bringing in over 100,000 passengers. Should benefit from firmer pricing. Long-term 20% annual growth forecast.
DON'T BUY
A good sector going forward. Will recover but will take a while.
BUY
Good long term hold.
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