Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL)

(Past Top Pick May 4, 2018, Up 21%) It did poorly in the first half of the year on concerns of capacity additions, but it has come back. He still holds it. As long as the economy is strong, this will continue to do well. But trim if the economy pulls back.

(A Past Top Pick on Sept. 20, 2017, Down 4%) He still owns it and believes it will go higher long-term. Headwind: this spring, oil prices started to rise, and the market got worried that we're in the peak of the cycle. But the business is growing 6% annually in volumes, and the Chinese are getting into this business.

Everybody loves cruise lines. Yield is 2.2%. the stock sold off in the last couple of month he thinks because oil prices concerns and new cruise ship supply. Bookings are higher. High-growth market sensitive to GDP. (Analysts’ price target is $143.41)

This is at a valuation high. His model price is $199.99, 50% higher than the current stock price. This just had a positive transit. Any pullback to EBV+3 of $99, he would certainly be a buyer.

The stock is down because of hurricanes; however it continues to plug away. Has a $135 target price on it. Demographic demand is strong. The Chinese are getting into cruising, which is a huge market opening up. Cruising will continue to grow. Dividend yield of 2%. (Analysts’ price target is $130.)

He still likes this as well as Carnival (CCL-N). When consumers have money, they spend it on leisure and travel. We have an aging population that really likes cruising. Royal Caribbean gets about 10% of their revenue from China. This is a long-term theme that is not going away.

(A Top Pick July 13/16. Up 57%.) Last summer there was the zika virus which was causing worries about going to the tropics. There was also a nasty Isis incident on the French Riviera which caused fear of travel. The cruise line business is still great. Demand for cruises is growing faster than the economy, and there are only 3 big cruise lines.

Carnival Cruise (CCL-N) or Royal Caribbean Cruise (RCL-N)? As a thematic investor, one of the key themes he is interested in is travel and leisure. Both these companies play into that theme, as does Disney (DIS-N). Both are well run companies and global. He would buy either one. Both should grow earnings in the mid-teens, and you could do well in either one.

(A Top Pick July 13/16. Up 4.31%.) Has bought more of this and thinks by February this is going to $100. The far East is the next big growth market.

(A Top Pick Sept 29/15. Down 21.70%.) He is all about finding good companies that are getting better, and stays in the ones that work as long as they work, and is very careful about cutting losses when a stock does not work. Got stopped out of this at the end of December.

We are all tired, old and want someone to look after us. It was $100 and then there was a sell off. Far East/China is where they are expanding. Cuba offers more opportunities. The population is aging.

Sold his holdings a while ago. He was getting a little concerned with oil prices starting to move higher which will have an effect on cruise lines. This and Carnival (CCL-N) should do well going out 5-10 years as people age and more people go on cruises. It needs to see stronger growth globally.