TSE:PPL

Pembina Pipeline Corp (PPL.TO)

68.16
+1.32 (1.97%)
as of Nov 6, 2026, 9:00:00 pm Market Closed.
1170 watching
0
BUY

Trashed along with the entire energy sector. Surprising how low this fell, but he bought in the mid-20s. Safe dividend. Smart operators. They can reduce costs further, if needed. The selling is way overdone here and with Enbridge.

COMMENT

Historically these have been great assets to own. They will follow energy stocks in general too. He prefers to own KEY over PPL. There have been concerns about insolvencies with producers in the energy space with low oil prices. He has added more to their KEY holdings, thinking the natural gas space is safer than oil right now. He would own a couple of holdings in a diversified way.

HOLD
The dramatic price decline was caused by reduced demand and lower commodity prices in Canada. Even with take or pay contracts they need healthy customers. He thinks they will be able to weather the storm, however.
WAIT
This is a company that will take time to recovery. In a world of $20 oil, we really are in uncharted waters. If there are bankruptcies in the oil patch it will take time to re-balance. Eventually they will become a buy, but only when they are cheap enough -- around $22.
TOP PICK
It has been one of the best managed companies in Western Canada for decades. The dividend is around 10%. If there is not a multi-year downturn in volumes they will be able to maintain the dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $38.11)
PARTIAL SELL
They are somewhat insulated from the oil price declines. However, with so much oil supply in the market flooding in from Russia and Saudi Arabia, at some point storage will be full and this will not be a good situation. The risk lies with commitments made by producers for their services. Yes, they will get some relief in bankruptcy court if their customer fails, but it will take time. They are staying away from energy right now. If you own this, he would suggest selling half and wait for improvement.
BUY
Yesterday, it was down 25-30% on a day, so he picked some up. The street thinks some of the producers won't be around in the next 3-6 months. The market's overdoing the selloff. Growth and balance sheet are fine. It'll bounce around a bit. He likes it longer term.
DON'T BUY

Outlook for Pembina in fulfilling take-or-pay contracts with clients. That's exactly the concern behind the stock going down. That's the risk. It's like Chorus Aviation's relationship to Air Canada (though AC has a strong balance sheet and is well-positioned). PPL was trading at a pricey 20x EBIT to EBITDA. Pays a big, growing yield at a reasonable payout ratio, assuming they can maintain cash flow. The market is determining how risky that is. PPL has lost its utility-like premium and trading down. Valuation is cheaper, but it's becoming volatile. Let the dust settle before considering this.

DON'T BUY
It's more defensive at this volatility time of year, but anything energy today was massacred. PPL crashed through support and its 200-day average. Today was horrible. PPL got crushed. Avoid. Oil needs to rise above $40 for oil stocks to have a chance.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 16/19, Up 7%) Tremendous growth potential, an income pick with a strong dividend. His buy price is just under $50.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 14/19, Up 12%) Down only 1.37% on this sell-off day. It's a steady-eddy. It's been trending sharply up since December. He's still buying it.
BUY
A dividend play. He likes it and owns the preferred shares. The 6-month outlook is positive. Pays a good 4.7% dividend.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 13/19, Up 16%) Great income stock. Continues to increase the dividend of 4.8%. Very well placed in western Canada, also in the US. Can grow its cash flow by mid-single digits each year.
BUY

Suncor vs. Pembina Investor sentiment for oil is very weak, but Suncor is among the better performers in the last decade because their Oil Sands assets have such a long life that they don't have to keep investing money each year to maintain that production. Ultimately, Canada needs to see takeaway capacity to improve. He owns Pembina which is not as directly effected by the oil price. Suncor is an oil play; Pembina is an income play. Either one is fine.

BUY
Safe dividend? Yes, very. PPL has take-or-pay contracts with producer, which are guaranteed payments. Management does a good job keeping risk low. They just made an acquisition, so their balance sheet is a little higher than usual, but this will come down in coming quarters. Their purchase in strategic--two pipelines and a storage facility. A very safe stock, despite a little volatility.
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