NYSE:PFE

Pfizer Inc (PFE)

30.03
-0.39 (1.28%)
as of Oct 23, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
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COMMENT
The New York Times reports that the FDA will give full approval to Pfizer's Covid vaccine (for booster shots). He wouldn't rush in after-hours to buy Pfizer, because he's wary of such after-hours moves. Such trading is thin, low-volume.
BUY
It's been on a hot run. The Delta variant gives them a huge tailwind, because Washington is about to mandate Covid booster shots. Pfizer needs it, because they're about to lose the patents on some of their major drugs. Annual booster shots would give Pfizer a giant revenue stream. Shares are up 22% in the past month.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 24/20, Up 39%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with PFE is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $33) to $42. If triggered this would all but guarantee a investment return over 17%, when including the previous recommendation to cover half.
DON'T BUY
Likes it under $40-$36. A bit overbought right now. A good value play and dividend player but would not chase it here. There is probably limited upside here.
BUY

Opportunity for Pfizer and J&J are solid. You give up some appreciation when you select a stock with higher yield. However, total return is the most important. There is more diversification with JNJ with medical supplies. Pfizer's partnership with BioNtech is positive. There is renewed chatter about drug price controls. Both offer good prospective.

WAIT

They report Tuesday. Despite a successful Covid drug, the stock has done nothing because they have a slew of patents about to expire. That said, it's a fine stock with good managers and a safe dividend yield. You could do a lot worse. You would wait before the report.

DON'T BUY

Not overly bullish on healthcare as a whole, as its growth may be less attractive. Likes medical devices, with a built-in backlog due to Covid. He owns SYK. There should be a significant pickup in procedures over the next 2 years. SYK has strong earnings growth, near a 1-year high. Also look at IHI, the medical devices ETF, packed with companies leading the healthcare sector.

DON'T BUY
Their vaccine has been a boon to their revenues, which jumped 30% in a one year, but this is likely a round trip. Also, margins on this vaccine are fairly low. The vaccine offers some benefit to PFE, but it's limited. Look elsewhere.
PARTIAL BUY
Price momentum and valuation has not lined up. It is a low volatility stock with good yield. Almost a bond replacement from the stable and reasonably priced business. Not the cheapest on EBITDA, cashflow or book value. Solid balance sheet.
DON'T BUY

As a general comment, the margins on the vaccines are not great by design. Their revenues in 2021 will grow quite smartly. The company has been stuck in the mud for some time. There will be 10% revenue growth. However, he fears it will be a one off. There is not a lot of opportunity for top line growth. There has been consolidation in the space to cut costs. Biopharma space is more positive, like Abbvie.

BUY

PFE vs. NVAX He'd absolutely go with PFE. Investors have been chasing growthy parts of the market and ignoring the stable areas. Vaccines don't move the needle for PFE the way they do for the others. A great long-term investment if you think rates will stay lower. Mature, decent balance sheet, good valuation.

DON'T BUY
Their vaccine will give them a boost in the near term, but it is not sustainable for their long term growth outlook. Their product pipeline is really hampering their growth outlook. Needs more visibility in their pipeline. It will continue to be depressed until there is movement here.
HOLD
He is focused on US healthcare sector, though he's not looking at the vaccine angle. You'll do fine long term. Reasonably valued, development potential. There will be an overhang as some of the fast money comes out and goes to pharma companies left in the dust.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 17/20, Down 15%) Committed to transitioning to a more pure play R&D-focused biopharmaceutical company. But it hasn't delivered. Consumer businesses are being spun out. Great vaccine business, but there's competition. OK at current valuations. Risk profile has changed. Finances will be impacted by number of vaccines actually needed.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 11/20, Up 1%) You are looking for their dividend but a lot of it sold off during 2020 and he eventually sold off in November on the vaccine news. He moved to another vaccine company.
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