TSE:PEY

Peyto Exploration & Develop. (PEY.TO)

25.41
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Oct 28, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
322 watching
0
WEAK BUY
PEY vs. BIR vs. ARX

LNG Canada is bringing a significant export opportunity for all Canadian nat gas companies towards the end of 2025. This will be transformational. He likes all Canadian nat gas producers on a volume basis. His preference is ARX, as it's diversified with undeveloped land. Prefers PEY to BIR; management is stronger, though its dividend will be subject to commodity prices, can grow production long-term. 

DON'T BUY
Darren Gee sold $3mm shares yesterday (former CEO). Not a good sign. Natural gas prices are going to fall (tough on business). Would invest in other names.
BUY
Commodity prices will stay flat or rise and so will Peyto share prices. They have a good track record of returning capital to shareholders. Pays a 10% dividend. Cash flows should continue and sustain stability.
TOP PICK
Very high dividend rate. Good for natural gas exposure. Expecting more returns to be rewarded to investors.
TOP PICK
FMV continues to go straight up, 337% higher than current price. Really likes the industry. Yield is 9.59%. (Analysts’ price target is $18.22)
COMMENT
Company is highly exposed to natural gas. Concerned about over supply of natural gas in North America. Believes much higher potential in oil stocks. Avoiding natural gas stocks for now.
DON'T BUY
Natural gas? The outlook for natural gas has improved as associated production has impacted by shut in oil production. He is not fond of PEY as they have covenant violations (that should be worked out). He has others he prefers.
RISKY

He thinks natural gas will be the energy of the future. He is not an energy expert. He has gone with Peyto. Consider taking small positions when there are big market down days. But they must be good companies that will survive. 7 out of 10 of these companies may go under. Think of them as call options.

DON'T BUY
They are the poster child for the woes of the AECo market. They have debt to cash flow of 4 times. They are maintaining production. We are over 70% through winter and we have seen demand down 14% in North America this season. The outlook is bleak. Natural gas stocks are a play on weather and he does not see any prospects in this space at this time. He is looking towards Canadian oil plays instead.
COMMENT
The US / China truce as of last week eliminated the strong worries people had on the global economy. There has been a large unwind of value stocks for growth stocks. The best value in the world is Canadian energy stocks. PEY-T is a levered natural gas. He took the easy profits off it. If you are really bullish on it, then this is a good way to play it.
DON'T BUY

They produce 96% natural gas, trying to diversify. They're the lowest-cost operator in North America, but drilling is uneconimical now. LNG is a long way off. Avoid this.

DON'T BUY
They have a challenged balance sheet.
DON'T BUY
Their earnings missed in the most recent quarter. Their balance sheet within the industry is okay but is there any catalyst to see them go up in price significantly. There are other places he would invest such as ECA-T or ARX-T.
DON'T BUY
Natural gas prices in western Canada are struggling, but management is solid. The price can't go much lower and ultimately PEY will recover, but who knows when? They're in a difficult spot now. They pay a decent yield above 3%.
COMMENT
Peyto vs Torc. He is not fond of Peyto -- production is flat and the balance sheet is not great. They also focus on natural gas -- an area he sees little opportunity in that commodity. Torc is a well-run oil producer, with a solid management team. He clearly would prefer Torc.
Showing 46 to 60 of 296 entries