TSE:PEY

Peyto Exploration & Develop. (PEY.TO)

25.76
+0.54 (2.14%)
as of Jun 8, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
310 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 7, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.

Peyto Exploration & Development (PEY) presents a mixed yet generally favorable outlook among analysts. Many experts highlight its strong position in the natural gas sector, emphasizing the company’s potential for growth due to its substantial drilling inventory and strategic acquisitions. While some analysts suggest buying on pullbacks due to its attractive trendline and reasonable price targets, others caution against new investments if oil stocks are already present in one’s portfolio. Additionally, the attractive dividend yield and potential for future increases as debt decreases make PEY a noteworthy option for income-oriented investors. However, concerns over current valuations and market conditions suggest careful consideration is necessary before making any investment decisions.

consensus icon
Consensus
Mixed
valuation icon
Valuation
Fair Value
review icon
Similar
TOU
BUY

Owns shares in income fund. Dividend is very safe at ~9%. Recent M&A good for business. Getting more interested in natural gas stocks given LNG future in Canada. Strong management team. Great stock for dividend investors. 

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

PEY has a solid balance sheet and a long history of growth. It has seen many cycles already, and was one of the first companies to convert into an income trust way back (which did benefit shareholders). It trades at only 7X earnings and barely 4X cash flow. The dividend is attractive and was more than doubled late last year. It is not guaranteed of course but is well-covered by cash flow. Payout ratio is 21%. We like management and its leverage to gas prices is very high. Some fault it because of its hedge program on prices, but of course this does also reduce risk of price volatility.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY

Buying shares recently.
Strong company with good dividend.
Expecting higher natural gas prices.
Hedging allows for safety on dividend.
Excellent management team.

HOLD
Dividend sustainable?

If we stay at the current gas price for the next year, dividend is not sustainable. PEY has a good hedge position, and they're actually getting good gas pricing, so it has a buffer. He owns it in an income fund, making about 18% after selling calls. Not in his main fund, as all he wants to own is Canadian heavy oil.

PARTIAL BUY

Yields 11.6%. Not for the feint of heart. A dryer gas player. Medium-term this looks good, and it's a good way to play western Canadian gas. Buy a partial position, but expect some rough days short-term as you collect that 11.6%.

RISKY

Calgary based oil & gas company.
Most of production is natural gas.
Weak natural gas prices causing worries for investors.
Unsure of dividend sustainability. 
Prefers other natural gas names in sector. 

SELL

If you're willing to endure another year of miserable natural gas prices, it should be fine. He'd prefer to pay the premium for TOU and get the inventory depth, especially if you're sitting on a tax loss.

WEAK BUY
PEY vs. BIR vs. ARX

LNG Canada is bringing a significant export opportunity for all Canadian nat gas companies towards the end of 2025. This will be transformational. He likes all Canadian nat gas producers on a volume basis. His preference is ARX, as it's diversified with undeveloped land. Prefers PEY to BIR; management is stronger, though its dividend will be subject to commodity prices, can grow production long-term. 

DON'T BUY
Darren Gee sold $3mm shares yesterday (former CEO). Not a good sign. Natural gas prices are going to fall (tough on business). Would invest in other names.
BUY
Commodity prices will stay flat or rise and so will Peyto share prices. They have a good track record of returning capital to shareholders. Pays a 10% dividend. Cash flows should continue and sustain stability.
TOP PICK
Very high dividend rate. Good for natural gas exposure. Expecting more returns to be rewarded to investors.
TOP PICK
FMV continues to go straight up, 337% higher than current price. Really likes the industry. Yield is 9.59%. (Analysts’ price target is $18.22)
COMMENT
Company is highly exposed to natural gas. Concerned about over supply of natural gas in North America. Believes much higher potential in oil stocks. Avoiding natural gas stocks for now.
DON'T BUY
Natural gas? The outlook for natural gas has improved as associated production has impacted by shut in oil production. He is not fond of PEY as they have covenant violations (that should be worked out). He has others he prefers.
RISKY

He thinks natural gas will be the energy of the future. He is not an energy expert. He has gone with Peyto. Consider taking small positions when there are big market down days. But they must be good companies that will survive. 7 out of 10 of these companies may go under. Think of them as call options.

Showing 31 to 45 of 288 entries