
TSE:PEY
This summary was created by AI, based on 15 opinions in the last 12 months.
Peyto Exploration & Development (symbol: PEY-T) is viewed positively by various experts, particularly in the context of natural gas investments. Many analysts appreciate its solid operational track record and commend management for effective acquisitions and a strong dividend yield, which is currently around 5.5% to 7%. There is a consensus that while the stock may experience short-term volatility due to natural gas price trends, the long-term outlook remains favorable, especially if political constraints on Canadian energy resources ease. As natural gas is considered a critical transitional fuel, many view the company as well-positioned for growth in the next few years, with analysts’ price targets suggesting considerable upside potential. However, opinions vary regarding whether to buy now or wait for a better entry point, with some experts suggesting caution due to potential overvaluation at current levels.
PEY has a solid balance sheet and a long history of growth. It has seen many cycles already, and was one of the first companies to convert into an income trust way back (which did benefit shareholders). It trades at only 7X earnings and barely 4X cash flow. The dividend is attractive and was more than doubled late last year. It is not guaranteed of course but is well-covered by cash flow. Payout ratio is 21%. We like management and its leverage to gas prices is very high. Some fault it because of its hedge program on prices, but of course this does also reduce risk of price volatility.
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If we stay at the current gas price for the next year, dividend is not sustainable. PEY has a good hedge position, and they're actually getting good gas pricing, so it has a buffer. He owns it in an income fund, making about 18% after selling calls. Not in his main fund, as all he wants to own is Canadian heavy oil.
LNG Canada is bringing a significant export opportunity for all Canadian nat gas companies towards the end of 2025. This will be transformational. He likes all Canadian nat gas producers on a volume basis. His preference is ARX, as it's diversified with undeveloped land. Prefers PEY to BIR; management is stronger, though its dividend will be subject to commodity prices, can grow production long-term.
You get growth. Dividend is 10.1%, yet has excess cashflow after that. He also sells calls on it. Doesn't see capital appreciation. Uses it as an attractive income vehicle.