Stockchase Opinions

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI Oracle ORCL-N BUY Dec 19, 2012

The only disappointing, slightly negative story is that there is still a lot of hardware dependency. Cloud side has been incredible but that area has a lot of competition with SAP AG (SAP-N). Very cash-rich. Over the last year they’ve been focusing on midsize emerging cloud switching delivery companies globally. He is a very minimal holder and wishes he had had a lot more. Over the next year, this is a company where you absolutely want to be.

$34.090

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Oracle was a little late pivoting from hardware to software, but have very deep pockets so they now own #4 in cloud. He targets $207.

HOLD

Selling off with general selloff in tech. Great CEO.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has been beaten down along with anything related to data centres, but was up 3.27% today. Its multiple has compressed so much that the stock is now cheap.

BUY

They report Wednesday. The stock plunged after their last report, but has surprisingly bounced back. He expect good revenue growth this growth, driven by data centres.

WEAK BUY

Hasn't had a chance to look closely at yesterday's earnings. Stock's at a 52-week, if not all-time, high today. Looks interesting, given the cloud space it's in. Not expensive at 2x PEG, with forward PE of 29-30x. Earnings growth rate ~16%.

Technically, meets his criteria. 200-day MA is trending higher, and price is above that. High beta, volatile.

BUY

Is seeing billions in orders to build data centres. It popped 4% today, up over 31% this year.

BUY

Is in the sweet spot, AI, and giving excellent results. Momentum is there. All systems go. The only negative is its valuation, but its momentum trumps that.

WEAK BUY

People think of it as legacy databases and old technology. Slowly emerging as alternative player in the cloud. Joint Stargate project is exciting, includes $500B infrastructure push. Low base rate, so this pivot provides a revenue acceleration opportunity in cloud.

TRADE

Rolled all his option from the 8/22 expiration to the 8/29 expiry. Net credit of $16 at the same $237.50 strike.

PARTIAL SELL

Has tripled for him over 2.5 years, though has trimmed a little a few weeks ago only to manage risk. Is up 42% this year. Is key in the AI build-out long-term.