Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTANortel ASNTEL.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSDec 15, 2004
Not a lot of clarity in the stock. For a long time, this is going to be a stock you want to trade in, not invest in. Will be very volatile. An attractive stock with lots of liquidity. Good to get in and out. If between now and their report date in January, they break down below $4, that will be a negative sign.
If you own the stock, you are playing that there is some value in the assets they own. The company is not a going concern. Have a huge deficit hole in their pension plan. Individual parts of the company may be better being sold off.
Has about $4 per share in cash. They are thinking of selling an asset that would raise about another $1 billion, which would add another $2 per share in cash. However, the overall quality of the balance sheet is as bad as he has ever seen it. Speculative.