Robert McWhirterNortel ASNTEL.TODON'T BUYNov 21, 2003
Ranks about the middle of the database. Earnings are expected to go form 5¢ to 16¢ in 2004. Pretty good PE to growth rate. ROE is forecast at 19%. Prefers using Metek (?) as a way of playing on Nortel’s expectations.
If you own the stock, you are playing that there is some value in the assets they own. The company is not a going concern. Have a huge deficit hole in their pension plan. Individual parts of the company may be better being sold off.
Has about $4 per share in cash. They are thinking of selling an asset that would raise about another $1 billion, which would add another $2 per share in cash. However, the overall quality of the balance sheet is as bad as he has ever seen it. Speculative.