Among the worst Dow performers in Q3 It's exposed as a China play. Nike also faces supply issues, the decline in shopping malls and a European slowdown. Eventually, Nike will roar back as they problems resolve themselves. It's worth holding onto this.
They reported an inventory flt and shares dove 13%. It'll take two quarters to get rid of that inventory. Don't buy it now. The Chinese economy will open up and China will buy shares? That's not good enough for him.
They report Monday. They're a barometer for raw costs, supply chain issues and China's economy. He predicts the market will look past their weakness in China's demand and push shares higher. Weakness is already baked in to the stock after several downgrades.
Even with a 35% correction it is not a value stock, trading at 12X book value and P/E of 28 and little yield. Beat numbers on Monday but has low growth rate. Fair market value is 43% below price.
He prefers Lululemon in the athleticwear space. Both innovative, though Lulu more so given its entry into shoes. Lulu is not much more expensive in PE terms and has rewarded him well. But he has no problem owning Nike here; it has more upside than downside potential based on their last report.
vs. Lululemon It's almost like an ETF for athletic lesiure plays, because Nike offers many brand in its store. Lulu is by far the leader here. He thinks 35% of Nike's sales come from digital vs. Lulu's 42% and it grew 17% this quarter, which is amazing. Once a consumer finds a website they like buying from, they keep buying there.
Despite inflation eroding demand, Lulu and Nike still have a lot of pent-up demand to go further, driven in innovation and demand for leisurewear. Nike at 30x is a PE you've been wanting to see, with shares dropping from $175 to $120. That has priced in downgrades of the last month.
(A Top Pick Mar 02/21, Up 1.98%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NKE has triggered its stop at $140. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 10%, when combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position.
He still likes Nike. His gut tells him that their Chinese business will be good and Nike pulls it off. He wouldn't be surprised if they beat their report. He actually likes American companies with large exposure to China, even though their shares are coming down a lot.
It reports Thursday. He doesn't expect good things. It supply chain is in tatters because it sources 50% of its materials from Vietnam and some worry that China's government will crack down on sneakers next. Nike, though, has nine lives. You can't short it or go long Nike. Be careful here.
(A Top Pick Mar 02/21, Up 19.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NKE is progressing well and has achieved our $164 target. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering 50% of the position and trailing up the stop (from $110) to $140.
Sneakers and other casual shoes are doing well. Has done well from the leisure demand from WFH. Believes people will start buying other types of apparel. Take some profits. The company has done well. Probably fully priced here.
(A Top Pick Jul 14/20, Up 68%) They put out some long term guidance that blew the street away. They have a strong history of beating and raising. It is more of a hold now at these prices.
Nike Inc is a American stock, trading under the symbol NKE (previously NKE-N on Stockchase) on the New York Stock Exchange (NKE). It is usually referred to as NYSE:NKE or NKE