
NASDAQ:NFLX
Hard to value Netflix. They have pricing power and dominate the growing streaming sector. Good market share in the U.S. and growing share outside U.S. It's all about the content they produce, which eats up their cash flow. It'll be volatile. Young people who use Netflix share their passwords, so that's an issue. Netflix has to deal with this. But their brand is strong and the shift to streaming away from TV is definitely on their side.
This has 130 million subscribers globally and there are 1.2 billion cable company subscribers. There’s a long way to go in market penetration. He sees it as still being in a growth phase and compares this to Amazon 10 years ago. After they start running out of new subscribers to add, they can increase revenue through pricing leverage. They are currently very liberal in terms of how many people can watch shows through the same subscription at the same time. Tightening that can raise revenue. They are the first mover in a growing space. He has only a small position but believes it has significant upside over many years.
Big admirer of how the company is set up. Growth is phenomenal, especially in China and India. Only challenge is the valuation. Going to be a good company for a long time. The risk is constantly betting on it beating every quarter. If it doesn’t, it’s a good time to add. (Analysts’ price target is $371.08.)
There recent earnings indicated their growth in subscribers is slowing. This is an example where the stock is priced for perfection – any slip up and the stock can plunge. Management has done an outstanding job to date. They are now spending on content and this impresses him how they remain profitable.