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Opinions Stockchase Insights
Microsoft CorpMSFTBUYAug 01, 2025
Stockchase InsightsStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
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Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported 4.27 USD per share, beating the 4.06 USD estimate by 5.18%. Revenue for the same period reached 82.89 B USD, despite the estimate of 81.44 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 4.24 USD in earnings per share and 87.61 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 109% in the past 24h.
His preference is MSFT, and he'd buy today. Valuation is ~20x PE -- very fair valuation for business with good outlook for earnings growth for next 3-5 years. A bit more value than AMZN right now. Business model supports a better compounding over the long run, and generates significantly more FCF. Late to the AI race, and that's the reason for the selloff.
No issues with AMZN. Very well run, targeting new markets. You can't own all the tech companies, so you have to pick your spots.
Chris BlumasHurt by worries of software and of cloud growth slowing. Copilot AI project not loved. Tied itself to OpenAI, which seems to be losing a bit of steam to Gemini and Anthropic. Trading at only 22x forward PE. Better value today than in quite a while.
John Zechner
There are legitimate concerns of the AI product being lesser than others, as well as the software component. Its collaboration with Open AI has caused it to fall behind others in the race. However it recently re-negotiated a deal with Open AI to explore other avenues which should open things up for Microsoft. The Azure cloud offering is growing at 40% plus, and its software offerings eg Windows, etc. are a perfect launching pad for an AI application. It is 30 % off its highs. Buy 68 Hold 3 Sell 1
(Analysts’ price target is $561.39)
Gordon Reid
Good runway to price target. A hardware and software company, but put in penalty box because of software. Well positioned for enterprise, consumer, and even government services. In his top 5 holdings.
(Analysts’ price target is $560.00)
Kim BoltonTech companies like this got too expensive and got ahead of themselves. MSFT is still growing in double digits. AI won't go away, so the companies that invested will benefit for many years. MSFT is depressed now because it's not as an exciting story as Micron or Nvidia. The PE of 22x is attractive. Software isn't going anywhere.
Views it as a utility. Great company, wonderful platform, not just software. Innovative. Lofty 24x PE now, but potential of 12x PE for 2030 if estimates hold. Great moat, wonderful balance sheet, high operating/gross margins. Yield is 0.88%.
(Analysts’ price target is $561.39)
Premium contentWith recent earnings showing growth in cash reserves as debt was aggressively retired and shares bought back, we reiterate MSFT as a TOP PICK. Its subscription based business helps stabilize cash flow as its AI and cloud based systems continue to show excellent development opportunities. It trades at 27x earnings and supports a ROE over 30% and the dividend has been growing by over 10% per annum. We continue to recommend a stop at $360, looking to achieve $531 -- upside potential of 24%. Yield 0.8%
(Analysts’ price target is $554.28)
He has no software exposure (13% tech across the firm, a significant underweight). Have to pick your spots. Agentic AI puts software companies in a tricky position. Investing heavily in AI infrastructure, so less $$ to return to shareholders. Trading better than only 30% of S&P stocks in last 52 weeks.
On the other hand, sees semiconductors in a similar vein to copper and a call on the economy, and where pricing power gives inflation protection.
EPS of $3.65 beat estimates of $3.37; revenue of $76.44B beat estimates of $73.89. EBITDA of $45.5B beat estimates by 15%. Microsoft's commercial remaining performance obligations of $368 billion in fiscal 4Q, more than $50 billion above 3Q, gives confidence in another year of mid-double-digit sales growth. Estimates for 13% gains next year will likely move up, led by Azure, which could expand 34-36% in 2026. Capital-spending consensus including leases is another metric that may see an upward revision, with analysis suggesting $118 billion for 2026, up 34%. AI workloads gaining scale and double-digit sales growth could help lift 2026 operating margin above 2025. In addition, tight cost control, particularly on head count, could offset any gross-margin pressure from a shift in sales mix to lower-margin cloud infrastructure and greater depreciation. We think AI is a big factor here, as the company, while spending lots of money, is getting good customer traction. But we think underlying customer growth is very much a part of the good results as well.
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