NYSE:MS

Morgan Stanley (MS)

179.49
-4.48 (2.44%)
as of Oct 23, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
72 watching
0
BUY

They just delivered a strong Q3: +56% investment banking YOY, 22% equity trading YOY with an efficient 72% expense ratio and 17.5% return on common equity, a major beat. The wealth management business is booming with $64 billion of new assets.

HOLD

They report Wednesday. Bears kept tearing apart their wealth management business, but investors buy on any weakness. Pays a 3.5% dividend. Hold on.

BUY

An investment-focused name. Bit more leverage, bit more beta. Likes this space, but it's not as conservative as the money-centre banks.

BUY

Was upgraded today. It's underperformed GS and the market since 2021. Their banking fees and M&A pipeline are both strong. Higher asset prices should benefit wealth management. Net interest income should rise as the yield curve steepens. It trades at 13x forward PE and pays a 3.5% dividend yield. They can use excess capital for share buybacks.

BUY

Pays a 4% dividend and he predicts more acquisitions and IPOs, which will benefit MS' business.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 15/23, Up 13%)

Still likes it here. Wealth management side has been flattish. Achieved rebound in investment banking. Still positive longer term.

COMMENT
Was downgraded today

He knows the analyst and read that note--MS is ahead of its skiis. The message was not short MS, but go underweight the name.

BUY

Likes MS, expecting its capital markets activity to increase.

TOP PICK

They just beat and bottom lines. Their capital markets business is strong, and so is their wealth management unit after buying Eaton Vance and etrade. Reasonable PE is 15x and pays a 3.54% yield. Great growth.

(Analysts’ price target is $101.70)
HOLD
For a TFSA?

The one drawback is that, unlike with an RRSP, you are subject to the 15% withholding tax on dividends paid from US companies. But he wouldn't let that keep you from owning US stocks in a TFSA, as it's all about total return and US stocks have outperformed Canadian ones for quite some time. Huge lift in the USD compared to CAD over last few years, and now we have interest rates moving down here.

Well run. 48% of revenue from wealth management, 42% from institutional, 10% from investment management. Should see a lift in these big names from falling interest rates and improving equity in fixed income markets. Some of the other banks have done better over the past year, like JPM or Citi or WFC. You'll do OK with MS as interest rate conditions improve. Paying 1.7x price to book, others are cheaper. Yield is 3.5%.

He prefers the payment companies like Visa and MA. Less competition. See his Top Picks.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 27/23, Up 16%)

Huge wealth management and financial advisory businesses have been growing. These provide very high ROE and solid base for cashflow, no matter what equity markets are doing.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 16/23, Up 27%)

$6.6T assets under administration. Juggernaut in wealth management, which is responsible of more and more of its revenue.

HOLD

Would recommend buying at 95. Hold at any stock price above. 

WEAK BUY

Likes the business, amazing execution. CEO switch, and market will test him and future plans. Huge wealth management, big into investment banking. Diverse. Not too expensive. Higher rates gives them margin expansion. As markets go up, management fees also increase. Decent dividend.

If you think markets are going up over 5-10 years, could be reasonably good long-term hold.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 15/23, Up 5%)

Continues to improve investment banking performance. Business has performed well the past 12 months. Anti-money laundering investigation not a major concern - but will watch closely. Recent earnings have been strong. Will continue to hold. 

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