Opinions
Stan Wong
Morgan Stanley
MS-N
HOLD
Jun 06, 2024
$96.850
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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TOP PICK
Money centre + wealth management (about 50% of total revenue). Accumulated companies over the years. New CEO comes from within. Traded off to a compelling valuation versus its history. Well positioned once we come out of all this. Yield is 3.72%.
(Analysts’ price target is $130.90)
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PAST TOP PICK
BUY
The capital markets banks are all performing really well. That tells you something about the rest of the market; if investors are focusing on these banks, then they must have a view that lots of deals will be done and that capital markets provide a good opportunity. This name is more investment management than trading, but still very attractive.
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The one drawback is that, unlike with an RRSP, you are subject to the 15% withholding tax on dividends paid from US companies. But he wouldn't let that keep you from owning US stocks in a TFSA, as it's all about total return and US stocks have outperformed Canadian ones for quite some time. Huge lift in the USD compared to CAD over last few years, and now we have interest rates moving down here.
Well run. 48% of revenue from wealth management, 42% from institutional, 10% from investment management. Should see a lift in these big names from falling interest rates and improving equity in fixed income markets. Some of the other banks have done better over the past year, like JPM or Citi or WFC. You'll do OK with MS as interest rate conditions improve. Paying 1.7x price to book, others are cheaper. Yield is 3.5%.
He prefers the payment companies like Visa and MA. Less competition. See his Top Picks.