Magna Int'l. (A)MG.TOBUYFeb 09, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
In 2021, they invested heavily in EV, but the demand didn't materialize. Since then, they've suffered that overhang, plus the impact of tariffs. But they fixed these problems with Chinese OEMs and have gained market share in smart door handles and driverless systems. Are gaining market share. Doing a great job.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
EPS of $1.33 missed estimates of $1.47; sales were $10.45B nearly identical to estimates. Magna International's two largest business units by revenue also have the widest margins, as the smaller seating systems and complete vehicles segments need a surge in global vehicle output to expand their 3% adjusted Ebit margins. Magna has developed a product portfolio and customer base that can win wide-margin business as automakers perpetually pursue advances in safety, efficiency and connectivity. The company forecasts a 1.2% compound annual growth rate in North America new-vehicle production through 2026, a contraction in Europe and 4% gain in China. Magna's body exteriors & structures segment revenue grew 4% to $4.2 billion as adjusted Ebit margin widened 170 bps to 6.7%. The power & vision unit generated $3.8 billion in revenue -- a 25% jump -- with 230 bps worth of margin expansion to 6.1%. The stock is dropping today as investors seem to be focusing more on the 'miss' than on the improved margin outlook. We think it still has potential and it is very cheap at 8X earnings. It is expected to show overall decent earnings growth this year.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free