Magna Int'l. (A)MG.TOCOMMENTApr 13, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
In 2021, they invested heavily in EV, but the demand didn't materialize. Since then, they've suffered that overhang, plus the impact of tariffs. But they fixed these problems with Chinese OEMs and have gained market share in smart door handles and driverless systems. Are gaining market share. Doing a great job.
Very hesitant. Recent recovery has been sharp and quick, almost as though it's factoring in abolition of tariffs completely. We need more clarity on tariffs. Auto industry is highly cyclical and depends on health of the economy, and we're seeing signs of weakening.
If you own it, don't need the cash, and have a 5-10 year time horizon, you should be fine. But there could be further weakness from here.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
Not expensive at 7X earnings, and has a decent dividend yield. The car industry kind of collapsed in 2008-2009 and then it took off. The number of cars sold is off the charts in the last several years. There is a feeling that this volume cannot continue. Magna is a parts producer so they deal with everybody. Even though the car industry may grow at 1%, Magna could probably grow at between 3% and 5%. You should see better margin improvements. The car industry will probably have most of its growth in emerging markets over the next several years, and they are moving into that area. They have a pristine balance sheet, so they could look for some acquisitions. Dividend yield of 2.8%.