Stock price when the opinion was issued
Don't yet know how things are going to shake out. Rhetoric is at an all-time high. Short term, it's impacting our economy because the US is our largest trading partner. Reality is that there's a lot of value-added auto manufacturing in both Canada and US; the 2 countries are inextricably linked. Tariffs will be punitive for both Canada and the US.
Hope is not an investment strategy, but we have to hope that rational heads can prevail so that there continues to be a steady flow of goods across our borders.
It won't pull back much from here. Given tariffs, this space is uncertain, but eventually we will settle this tariff war. Auto manufacturing is so emeshed between both countries that it would take a very long time to rejig it. This or Linamar are fine, but Magna pays a higher PE, though trades at a higher price-to-book. Your horizon must be long to own this, like 3-4 years.
Seasonality for this and the auto industry in general is from around the end of February right through until May of each year. The key is to watch for the possibility of the seasonality characteristics coming into the stock sometime around the end of this month. Technically, it is not so good right now. It’s in a downward trend and is underperforming the market. Short-term momentum indicators are still on the downside. Around the end of this month, if the technicals start to show signs of bottoming, that will be the opportunity to Buy.