
TSE:MFC
Very interestingly positioned. 2012 earnings have come out to about $.65 a share but this includes a lot of haircuts the company is taking in its balance sheet on account of regulatory issues regarding its variable annuity stream. Understands they could do about $1.50 next year so there could be upside to the name. Has a good presence in Asia. If you are looking at it from a tax loss perspective in December with a healthy dividend, it could be a good name.
Outlook in 12 months? He has added to his holdings recently. 2 things are big negatives for this company. Falling stock market and falling bond yields. Their hedging programs are protecting them much more than he used to. Operations are starting to do better. Core operating earnings are probably running around $1.20-$1.30 a share, which gives you less than a 10X multiple. Can see leverage upside from improvements in the market generally. Risk/reward is great. 4.6% dividend yield.
If the economy recovers in the next 2 years, amongst the best performing sectors are going to be lifecos because this is a whole industry that has been viciously beaten down by low interest rates. If you have a long enough time rising, you can absolutely have a positive return on lifecos but this company would not be his favourite.
(Market Call Minute.) No problem with sales. They are selling stuff like hotcakes. Loves the Asian experience. You have a capital markets and interest-rate problem. Would look at it at $10.