Stockchase Opinions

Don Lato Mastercard Inc. MA-N BUY Oct 30, 2019

MA vs V? He has owned both MA and V and right now he holds Visa -- it simply trades at a cheaper multiple at the moment. It can't go wrong with either. You could buy either, but he slightly favours V.

$275.075

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

They delivered a good quarter a few weeks ago. Long-term secular growth lies ahead.

TOP PICK
Use the CDR.

Increased demand for credit cards and online shopping will continue. Partnership with NFLX focuses on live events. None of these partnerships will generate a ton of revenue, but it's ingenious how they're gaining access to the consumer. Yield is 0.5%.

(Analysts’ price target is $564.73)
BUY

Trading at a high 32x forward PE, but shares are near 52-week highs. Is growing around 15% in earnings despite a challenging macro. Cross-border travel continues to beat expectations. Consumers are also seeing higher wages to fuel their spending.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 25/24, Up 21%)

Has owned for ~10 years. Excellent business that will continue to own. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 11/24, Up 21%)

33x forward PE, a bit pricey but it's a premium name. Secular growth with growing electronic payments and rising consumer spending. Clear uptrend of higher highs and higher lows, 200-day and 200-week MAs are moving higher.

TOP PICK

Capitalizing on shift to digital payments. Increasing cross-border travel helps names like this, as cross-border transactions are high margin. Fintech and AI are unlocking areas of revenue. Interesting partnerships and acquisitions. Cashflow remains high. Yield is 1.0%.

Exceeding expectations on quarterly results. Seeing ~13% annual earnings growth going forward. Shares are down 10-11%, attractive entry point.

(Analysts’ price target is $627.33)
BUY

Visa and Mastercard both have no credit risk and are doing incredibly well.

HOLD

Down because everything's down. Concern that in an economic slowdown people will be slower to pay off credit cards, and there will be less travel. Doesn't have the credit risks that banks do. 

DON'T BUY

Visa is his favourite, multiple is a few points cheaper than MA. Debit card business growing faster than MA, and greater European and international tentacles.

BUY

Forward PE ~31x, and it will always be at a premium because the space has very few competitors. Stock's near oversold at this point, slightly below 200-day. 200-day MA and 200-week MA are both still trending higher, so long-term this name is fine.

Right now, market is trading on news not fundamentals. This name is 16% below recent highs. Buy now and you'll be happy 6-24 months out. Economic slowdown will affect consumer. Who knows what tariffs will look like down the road?