Brian Madden Lightspeed Commerce Inc LSPD-T DON'T BUY Mar 23, 2023

A top pick because it could be bought out. Look at Nuvei. Is down 85% from its peak. LSPD is focusing more on larger customers. They finally broke even on cash. If a deal happens it will happen in 3-6 months, or else shares fall.

Restructuring to focus on higher-profitability segments. Yesterday's announcement on job cuts, though painful, was the right business decision. Strategic review is ongoing. Pretty good assets, need to focus operations.

Long-term base of support around $16-17, and seems stuck there. Just bounced off resistance. At this point, it's only a trend if there are higher highs and higher lows (or lower highs and lower lows). Until it starts one of those 2 patterns, it's in consolidation. Not showing any signs of a real trend.

The only thing you can do with a stock that's consolidating is to swing-trade it.

He never owned this, never liking their growth-at-any-cost strategy and sacrificing margins. POS is a very competitive market with little difference between companies.

Would wait before buying. Recent announcement of company under strategic review sale process was not successful. Old CEO returning, but not too optimistic. Better options for investors in the markets. 

They bought good companies, but they used their expensive stock to close those deals. But then shares took a hit and they lost that power. They tried to sell, but couldn't find a buyer. Then, they issued poor guidance. Brutal. They went get their past super-high multiple.

Lowered outlook, analyst downgrades. Trying to focus on NA retail and European hospitality. The question is whether you want to catch this falling knife? You could buy a small position here, but he'd prefer writing a put, obliging yourself to own it ~$10 and get paid a nice premium.

He still models 21% EPS growth, trading ~20x. 

We think LSPD remains a sell. We have some previous comments posted, but it has had enough 'chances' and was also unable to sell the company. 
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Management has reestablished its credibility; still some work to do, and that's why they didn't want to sell. Very robust platform. Owns in some of his separately managed accounts, though not in his fund; means it's less investable and more of a trade. Products and services are top-notch.

A growth stock in tech, so it is twice as volatile as most stocks. More speculative than most, though not expensive right now. It made a low recently around $7, so it's move up a lot since then. Too risky for him. But if it re-test the recent low and holds, that's a better entry point.