
TSE:IPL
(A Top Pick Nov 6/13. Up 38.74%.) Thinks that the long-term story for energy infrastructure is intact. You are probably going to get 8%-10% dividend growth for the next 5 years. For this company, it is a necessary piece of infrastructure for the oil sands in Western Canada. It would take a sustained period of very low energy prices for them to curtail their investment. They have very long contracts.
Several criteria for tonight’s Top Picks are for solid assured cash flow growth and subsequent growth in distributions. There have been both with this company. This is basically a business that is involved with Take & Pay contracts for a major part of the business, or cost of service plus. Given the business that they have currently on the books, you are going to see a major increase in cash flow per share of about $1.40, and probably see 30% of that added to the current distribution. Feels the pipeline business in Canada is a growth business. Very good value. Yield of 3.68%.
Which pipelines should he buy? His favourites have been in the juniors, Pembina (PPL-T) and Inter Pipeline (IPL-T). Likes these because they operate virtually all in Alberta and somewhat in Saskatchewan and BC. They don’t face the kind of political problems that the larger ones do. Will probably show better growth in a reasonable market and he would say either of these 2. They give reasonable dividends and good growth potential.
DRIP programs? You sometimes get incentives to take these with a little bit of extra percentages. He prefers to take all of his dividends in cash. It is a way for him to reallocate funds. However, for most investors, a DRIP is a decent way to stay invested and get the compounding effect going. This company is one of those companies that offer the DRIP. A great company and has owned it in the past. A little bit more exposed to oil and oil sands projects then some of their peers, but by and large, their customers are going to stay in business, so the volumes will be there to transport.